Yansab's net profit tumbles 63% to SAR 344.9 mln in 9M 2020

Yansab's net profit tumbles 63% to SAR 344.9 mln in 9M 2020

18/10/2020 Argaam Exclusive

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Yanbu National Petrochemical Co. (Yansab) reported a net profit after Zakat and tax of SAR 344.9 million for the first nine months of 2020, a slump of 63% year-on-year (YoY), due to lower average sales prices of all products, despite a decline in production inputs average cost.

 

Yansab is 51%-owned by Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC).



Financials (M)

Item 9m 2019 9m 2020 Change‬
Revenues 4,582.75 3,656.36 (20.2 %)
Gross Income 1,200.15 613.59 (48.9 %)
Operating Income 913.84 356.32 (61.0 %)
Net Income 918.82 344.92 (62.5 %)
Average Shares 562.50 562.50 -
EPS (Riyals) 1.63 0.61 (62.5 %)

The company’s net profit after Zakat and tax declined 8% YoY to SAR 195.6 million in Q3 2020, on lower average selling prices and higher production input average cost despite improved output and sales volumes.

 

On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the third-quarter net profit rose over four times, driven by higher average selling prices of all products and improved sales volumes.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q3 2019 Q3 2020 Change‬
Revenues 1,422.74 1,440.73 1.3 %
Gross Income 296.05 277.21 (6.4 %)
Operating Income 205.38 201.04 (2.1 %)
Net Income 212.06 195.63 (7.7 %)
Average Shares 562.50 562.50 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.38 0.35 (7.7 %)


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2011 2,077.28 201.7 % 891.46 173.9 % 838.06 170.0 %
Q2 2011 2,659.86 62.4 % 1,139.46 80.3 % 1,092.65 83.3 %
Q3 2011 2,497.80 55.8 % 975.77 94.4 % 952.77 103.3 %
Q4 2011 2,424.41 28.2 % 786.41 10.7 % 734.20 9.4 %
Q1 2012 2,445.86 17.7 % 906.99 1.7 % 845.49 0.9 %
Q2 2012 2,332.26 (12.3 %) 824.89 (27.6 %) 764.86 (30.0 %)
Q3 2012 2,017.60 (19.2 %) 588.27 (39.7 %) 537.12 (43.6 %)
Q4 2012 2,503.31 3.3 % 788.85 0.3 % 727.90 (0.9 %)
Q1 2013 2,168.52 (11.3 %) 800.29 (11.8 %) 744.45 (12.0 %)
Q2 2013 2,212.84 (5.1 %) 807.15 (2.2 %) 756.19 (1.1 %)
Q3 2013 2,888.72 43.2 % 1,027.75 74.7 % 957.12 78.2 %
Q4 2013 2,083.57 (16.8 %) 589.60 (25.3 %) 535.19 (26.5 %)
Q1 2014 2,317.89 6.9 % 708.29 (11.5 %) 645.24 (13.3 %)
Q2 2014 2,409.31 8.9 % 760.78 (5.7 %) 700.71 (7.3 %)
Q3 2014 2,493.73 (13.7 %) 844.76 (17.8 %) 784.45 (18.0 %)
Q4 2014 2,290.10 9.9 % 773.20 31.1 % 712.30 33.1 %
Q1 2015 1,716.78 (25.9 %) 412.75 (41.7 %) 363.99 (43.6 %)
Q2 2015 1,563.32 (35.1 %) 373.04 (51.0 %) 316.42 (54.8 %)
Q3 2015 1,800.27 (27.8 %) 434.61 (48.6 %) 381.43 (51.4 %)
Q4 2015 1,831.05 (20.0 %) 537.20 (30.5 %) 478.22 (32.9 %)
Q1 2016 1,346.43 (21.6 %) 607.27 47.1 % 504.57 38.6 %
Q2 2016 1,722.34 10.2 % 852.67 128.6 % 738.74 133.5 %
Q3 2016 1,516.80 (15.7 %) 688.73 58.5 % 591.89 55.2 %
Q4 2016 1,645.07 (10.2 %) 732.63 36.4 % 587.71 22.9 %
Q1 2017 1,758.51 30.6 % 728.26 19.9 % 623.21 23.5 %
Q2 2017 1,362.12 (20.9 %) 465.16 (45.4 %) 357.71 (51.6 %)
Q3 2017 1,933.44 27.5 % 780.33 13.3 % 653.62 10.4 %
Q4 2017 2,166.85 31.7 % 896.55 22.4 % 779.55 32.6 %
Q1 2018 1,787.21 1.6 % 739.84 1.6 % 634.81 1.9 %
Q2 2018 2,111.47 55.0 % 937.57 101.6 % 816.19 128.2 %
Q3 2018 2,110.43 9.2 % 839.25 7.5 % 710.81 8.7 %
Q4 2018 1,619.36 (25.3 %) 348.78 (61.1 %) 199.58 (74.4 %)
Q1 2019 1,522.05 (14.8 %) 472.49 (36.1 %) 378.99 (40.3 %)
Q2 2019 1,637.96 (22.4 %) 431.61 (54.0 %) 329.47 (59.6 %)
Q3 2019 1,422.74 (32.6 %) 296.05 (64.7 %) 205.38 (71.1 %)
Q4 2019 1,482.08 (8.5 %) 298.12 (14.5 %) 182.31 (8.7 %)
Q1 2020 1,194.98 (21.5 %) 199.26 (57.8 %) 102.37 (73.0 %)
Q2 2020 1,020.66 (37.7 %) 137.12 (68.2 %) 52.91 (83.9 %)
Q3 2020 1,440.73 1.3 % 277.21 (6.4 %) 201.04 (2.1 %)


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2011 717.85 176.7 % 1.28 - 717.85 1.28
Q2 2011 963.67 91.8 % 1.71 - 963.67 1.71
Q3 2011 827.94 132.4 % 1.47 - 827.94 1.47
Q4 2011 664.88 19.8 % 1.18 - 664.88 1.18
Q1 2012 720.27 0.3 % 1.28 - 720.27 1.28
Q2 2012 649.61 (32.6 %) 1.15 - 649.61 1.15
Q3 2012 435.73 (47.4 %) 0.77 - 435.73 0.77
Q4 2012 640.77 (3.6 %) 1.14 - 640.77 1.14
Q1 2013 667.07 (7.4 %) 1.19 - 667.07 1.19
Q2 2013 670.52 3.2 % 1.19 - 670.52 1.19
Q3 2013 864.83 98.5 % 1.54 - 864.83 1.54
Q4 2013 442.23 (31.0 %) 0.79 - 442.23 0.79
Q1 2014 555.68 (16.7 %) 0.99 - 555.68 0.99
Q2 2014 613.03 (8.6 %) 1.09 - 613.03 1.09
Q3 2014 691.28 (20.1 %) 1.23 - 691.28 1.23
Q4 2014 617.75 39.7 % 1.10 - 617.75 1.10
Q1 2015 285.14 (48.7 %) 0.51 - 285.14 0.51
Q2 2015 227.40 (62.9 %) 0.40 - 227.40 0.40
Q3 2015 301.72 (56.4 %) 0.54 (0.82) 302.54 0.54
Q4 2015 393.06 (36.4 %) 0.70 (4.14) 397.20 0.71
Q1 2016 421.74 47.9 % 0.75 - 421.74 0.75
Q2 2016 747.34 228.6 % 1.33 - 747.34 1.33
Q3 2016 568.28 88.3 % 1.01 - 568.28 1.01
Q4 2016 607.00 54.4 % 1.08 - 607.00 1.08
Q1 2017 608.16 44.2 % 1.08 - 608.16 1.08
Q2 2017 345.72 (53.7 %) 0.61 - 345.72 0.61
Q3 2017 644.59 13.4 % 1.15 - 644.59 1.15
Q4 2017 777.90 28.2 % 1.38 - 777.90 1.38
Q1 2018 630.59 3.7 % 1.12 - 630.59 1.12
Q2 2018 820.89 137.4 % 1.46 - 820.89 1.46
Q3 2018 729.02 13.1 % 1.30 - 729.02 1.30
Q4 2018 233.48 (70.0 %) 0.42 - 233.48 0.42
Q1 2019 390.64 (38.1 %) 0.69 - 390.64 0.69
Q2 2019 316.13 (61.5 %) 0.56 - 316.13 0.56
Q3 2019 212.06 (70.9 %) 0.38 - 212.06 0.38
Q4 2019 170.95 (26.8 %) 0.30 - 170.95 0.30
Q1 2020 104.46 (73.3 %) 0.19 - 104.46 0.19
Q2 2020 44.83 (85.8 %) 0.08 - 44.83 0.08
Q3 2020 195.63 (7.7 %) 0.35 - 195.63 0.35

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2011 37.94 % 49.61 % 29.56 %
Q2 2011 39.39 % 49.60 % 31.49 %
Q3 2011 40.72 % 50.12 % 33.57 %
Q4 2011 39.27 % 47.99 % 32.86 %
Q1 2012 37.98 % 46.34 % 31.68 %
Q2 2012 36.02 % 47.12 % 29.51 %
Q3 2012 33.69 % 50.53 % 26.79 %
Q4 2012 33.43 % 58.26 % 26.31 %
Q1 2013 33.28 % 59.12 % 26.53 %
Q2 2013 33.53 % 57.16 % 27.12 %
Q3 2013 35.03 % 51.30 % 29.09 %
Q4 2013 34.48 % 43.54 % 28.27 %
Q1 2014 32.97 % 42.38 % 26.66 %
Q2 2014 31.82 % 41.45 % 25.52 %
Q3 2014 31.20 % 41.94 % 24.74 %
Q4 2014 32.46 % 43.45 % 26.05 %
Q1 2015 31.33 % 42.95 % 24.77 %
Q2 2015 29.81 % 42.15 % 22.59 %
Q3 2015 27.05 % 39.84 % 19.44 %
Q4 2015 25.43 % 38.49 % 17.54 %
Q1 2016 29.84 % 42.19 % 20.62 %
Q2 2016 36.29 % 47.23 % 27.89 %
Q3 2016 41.86 % 52.93 % 33.27 %
Q4 2016 46.24 % 56.31 % 37.63 %
Q1 2017 45.20 % 54.64 % 38.10 %
Q2 2017 41.62 % 51.91 % 33.89 %
Q3 2017 40.40 % 49.45 % 32.92 %
Q4 2017 39.75 % 48.52 % 32.91 %
Q1 2018 39.75 % 48.53 % 33.09 %
Q2 2018 41.93 % 49.73 % 35.93 %
Q3 2018 41.75 % 49.37 % 36.18 %
Q4 2018 37.56 % 45.25 % 31.64 %
Q1 2019 35.28 % 43.52 % 29.53 %
Q2 2019 30.37 % 42.48 % 24.23 %
Q3 2019 24.97 % 38.92 % 18.58 %
Q4 2019 24.70 % 38.51 % 17.97 %
Q1 2020 21.35 % 36.17 % 14.01 %
Q2 2020 18.17 % 31.43 % 10.40 %
Q3 2020 17.74 % 31.59 % 10.04 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2011 562.50 3.79 3.79 14.33
Q2 2011 562.50 4.61 4.61 16.04
Q3 2011 562.50 5.45 5.45 17.51
Q4 2011 562.50 5.64 5.64 18.69
Q1 2012 562.50 5.65 5.65 19.97
Q2 2012 562.50 5.09 5.09 21.13
Q3 2012 562.50 4.39 4.39 21.90
Q4 2012 562.50 4.35 4.35 23.04
Q1 2013 562.50 4.25 4.25 24.23
Q2 2013 562.50 4.29 4.29 24.42
Q3 2013 562.50 5.05 5.05 25.96
Q4 2013 562.50 4.70 4.70 26.74
Q1 2014 562.50 4.50 4.50 25.73
Q2 2014 562.50 4.40 4.40 25.32
Q3 2014 562.50 4.09 4.09 26.55
Q4 2014 562.50 4.40 4.40 27.65
Q1 2015 562.50 3.92 3.92 26.65
Q2 2015 562.50 3.24 3.24 26.06
Q3 2015 562.50 2.55 2.55 26.59
Q4 2015 562.50 2.15 2.16 27.29
Q1 2016 562.50 2.39 2.40 27.00
Q2 2016 562.50 3.31 3.32 26.73
Q3 2016 562.50 3.79 3.79 27.81
Q4 2016 562.50 4.17 4.17 28.54
Q1 2017 562.50 4.50 4.50 28.12
Q2 2017 562.50 3.79 3.79 27.24
Q3 2017 562.50 3.92 3.92 28.37
Q4 2017 562.50 4.22 4.22 29.76
Q1 2018 562.50 4.26 4.26 30.91
Q2 2018 562.50 5.11 5.11 28.87
Q3 2018 562.50 5.26 5.26 30.17
Q4 2018 562.50 4.29 4.29 30.68
Q1 2019 562.50 3.86 3.86 31.34
Q2 2019 562.50 2.97 2.97 28.12
Q3 2019 562.50 2.05 2.05 28.38
Q4 2019 562.50 1.94 1.94 28.70
Q1 2020 562.50 1.43 1.43 27.13
Q2 2020 562.50 0.95 0.95 25.92
Q3 2020 562.50 0.92 0.92 26.23

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2011 12.72 12.72 3.36
Q2 2011 10.26 10.26 2.95
Q3 2011 8.30 8.30 2.58
Q4 2011 7.80 7.80 2.35
Q1 2012 9.21 9.21 2.60
Q2 2012 8.65 8.65 2.08
Q3 2012 10.18 10.18 2.04
Q4 2012 10.88 10.88 2.05
Q1 2013 12.40 12.40 2.18
Q2 2013 12.93 12.93 2.27
Q3 2013 12.32 12.32 2.40
Q4 2013 15.69 15.69 2.76
Q1 2014 15.71 15.71 2.75
Q2 2014 16.11 16.11 2.80
Q3 2014 17.59 17.59 2.71
Q4 2014 10.82 10.82 1.72
Q1 2015 10.76 10.76 1.58
Q2 2015 16.75 16.75 2.08
Q3 2015 16.92 16.91 1.62
Q4 2015 15.10 15.04 1.19
Q1 2016 16.32 16.26 1.44
Q2 2016 12.65 12.61 1.57
Q3 2016 11.41 11.39 1.55
Q4 2016 12.97 12.97 1.89
Q1 2017 12.72 12.72 2.04
Q2 2017 14.74 14.74 2.05
Q3 2017 15.13 15.13 2.09
Q4 2017 13.93 13.93 1.98
Q1 2018 17.13 17.13 2.36
Q2 2018 14.58 14.58 2.58
Q3 2018 13.48 13.48 2.35
Q4 2018 14.87 14.87 2.08
Q1 2019 19.22 19.22 2.37
Q2 2019 21.47 21.47 2.26
Q3 2019 26.12 26.12 1.88
Q4 2019 28.85 28.85 1.95
Q1 2020 29.12 29.12 1.53
Q2 2020 54.11 54.11 1.98
Q3 2020 64.01 64.01 2.24

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q3 2020 (e) Q3 2020 (a) Change‬
Average 137.92 195.63 41.85 %

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q3 2020 (e) Q3 2020 (a) Change
AlJazira Capital 165.60 195.63 18.1 %
Al Rajhi Capital 146.00 195.63 34.0 %
SNB Capital 144.00 195.63 35.9 %
OSOOL AND BAKHEET 125.00 195.63 56.5 %
Riyad Capital 109.00 195.63 79.5 %

Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 21,234.38
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 18,524.80
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 562.50
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 0.84
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 20.94
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) 44.86
P/E (TTM) 44.86
Price/book 1.80
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 3.3
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 3.9

Share Price

Yanbu National Petrochemical Co. (YANSAB)


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