Saudi Kayan swings to loss in Q1 2019

Saudi Kayan swings to loss in Q1 2019

22/04/2019 Argaam Exclusive

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Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Co. reported a net loss after zakat and tax of SAR 197.5 million for the first quarter of 2019, compared to a net profit of SAR 462.6 million a year earlier due to lower selling prices of products and higher financing charges.

When compared to the previous quarter, net loss expanded in Q1 by 78.1 percent on higher selling prices and higher financing charges, despite reporting higher sales and lower general and administrative expenses.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q1 2018 Q1 2019 Change‬
Revenues 2,727.33 2,544.34 (6.7 %)
Gross Income 861.63 265.99 (69.1 %)
Operating Income 721.07 98.49 (86.3 %)
Net Income 462.58 (197.49) (142.7 %)
Average Shares 1,500.00 1,500.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.31 (0.13) (142.7 %)


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2010 - - - - (3.68) 41.3 %
Q2 2010 - - - - (1.60) 75.3 %
Q3 2010 - - - - (5.05) (35.5 %)
Q4 2010 - - - - (3.92) (957.7 %)
Q1 2011 - - - - (3.46) 5.8 %
Q2 2011 - - - - (3.38) (111.3 %)
Q3 2011 - - - - (4.14) 18.0 %
Q4 2011 2,403.41 - 32.44 - (45.19) (1,051.5 %)
Q1 2012 2,043.31 - 132.23 - 75.65 2285.8 %
Q2 2012 2,316.89 - (72.29) - (162.15) (4,700.1 %)
Q3 2012 2,196.23 - 52.68 - (24.86) (500.8 %)
Q4 2012 2,925.81 21.7 % 38.99 20.2 % (67.49) (49.4 %)
Q1 2013 2,079.89 1.8 % 58.73 (55.6 %) (10.73) (114.2 %)
Q2 2013 2,288.05 (1.2 %) (20.14) 72.1 % (106.55) 34.3 %
Q3 2013 3,052.20 39.0 % 304.95 478.9 % 198.20 897.4 %
Q4 2013 2,932.52 0.2 % 264.49 578.4 % 160.27 337.5 %
Q1 2014 2,909.36 39.9 % 260.96 344.4 % 161.50 1604.9 %
Q2 2014 2,965.26 29.6 % 126.54 728.2 % 7.23 106.8 %
Q3 2014 3,235.38 6.0 % 317.95 4.3 % 207.06 4.5 %
Q4 2014 2,526.04 (13.9 %) 267.87 1.3 % 144.72 (9.7 %)
Q1 2015 1,752.65 (39.8 %) (367.86) (241.0 %) (442.91) (374.2 %)
Q2 2015 2,149.08 (27.5 %) 257.85 103.8 % 150.02 1975.8 %
Q3 2015 2,194.63 (32.2 %) 269.19 (15.3 %) 174.88 (15.5 %)
Q4 2015 1,879.36 (25.6 %) (368.21) (237.5 %) (475.53) (428.6 %)
Q1 2016 1,692.59 (3.4 %) 185.21 150.3 % 11.55 102.6 %
Q2 2016 2,154.63 0.3 % 508.21 97.1 % 311.41 107.6 %
Q3 2016 2,313.08 5.4 % 579.95 115.4 % 385.77 120.6 %
Q4 2016 2,448.52 30.3 % 531.95 244.5 % 350.46 173.7 %
Q1 2017 2,667.18 57.6 % 726.70 292.4 % 554.92 4703.2 %
Q2 2017 2,308.72 7.2 % 582.69 14.7 % 438.87 40.9 %
Q3 2017 2,703.09 16.9 % 780.94 34.7 % 624.02 61.8 %
Q4 2017 2,304.93 (5.9 %) 155.60 (70.7 %) 11.62 (96.7 %)
Q1 2018 2,727.33 2.3 % 861.63 18.6 % 721.07 29.9 %
Q2 2018 3,524.25 52.6 % 1,300.66 123.2 % 1,116.46 154.4 %
Q3 2018 3,376.06 24.9 % 929.49 19.0 % 761.53 22.0 %
Q4 2018 2,635.52 14.3 % 273.55 75.8 % 61.53 429.5 %
Q1 2019 2,544.34 (6.7 %) 265.99 (69.1 %) 98.49 (86.3 %)


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2010 (3.77) 39.8 % 0.00 - (3.77) 0.00
Q2 2010 (1.80) 72.3 % 0.00 - (1.80) 0.00
Q3 2010 (5.07) (36.1 %) 0.00 - (5.07) 0.00
Q4 2010 (3.98) (800.2 %) 0.00 - (3.98) 0.00
Q1 2011 (8.33) (121.1 %) (0.01) - (8.33) (0.01)
Q2 2011 (16.01) (791.4 %) (0.01) - (16.01) (0.01)
Q3 2011 (35.16) (593.7 %) (0.02) - (35.16) (0.02)
Q4 2011 (190.75) (4,693.9 %) (0.13) (10.98) (179.78) (0.12)
Q1 2012 (71.12) (753.5 %) (0.05) - (71.12) (0.05)
Q2 2012 (328.32) (1,950.7 %) (0.22) - (328.32) (0.22)
Q3 2012 (178.37) (407.3 %) (0.12) - (178.37) (0.12)
Q4 2012 (194.45) (1.9 %) (0.13) - (194.45) (0.13)
Q1 2013 (154.87) (117.8 %) (0.10) - (154.87) (0.10)
Q2 2013 (238.24) 27.4 % (0.16) - (238.24) (0.16)
Q3 2013 43.27 124.3 % 0.03 - 43.27 0.03
Q4 2013 3.42 101.8 % 0.00 - 3.42 0.00
Q1 2014 9.94 106.4 % 0.01 - 9.94 0.01
Q2 2014 (133.09) 44.1 % (0.09) - (133.09) (0.09)
Q3 2014 66.91 54.6 % 0.04 - 66.91 0.04
Q4 2014 11.78 244.7 % 0.01 - 11.78 0.01
Q1 2015 (591.64) (6052.2 %) (0.39) - (591.64) (0.39)
Q2 2015 (13.42) 89.9 % (0.01) - (13.42) (0.01)
Q3 2015 (13.81) (120.6 %) (0.01) - (13.81) (0.01)
Q4 2015 (624.14) (5397.8 %) (0.42) - (624.14) (0.42)
Q1 2016 (194.99) 67.0 % (0.13) (22.64) (172.35) (0.11)
Q2 2016 97.31 825.1 % 0.06 (6.23) 103.54 0.07
Q3 2016 158.16 1245.6 % 0.11 - 158.16 0.11
Q4 2016 91.58 114.7 % 0.06 - 91.58 0.06
Q1 2017 265.46 236.1 % 0.18 (68.78) 334.24 0.22
Q2 2017 242.01 148.7 % 0.16 (1.75) 243.75 0.16
Q3 2017 381.03 140.9 % 0.25 (2.16) 383.19 0.26
Q4 2017 (220.32) (340.6 %) (0.15) (4.13) (216.20) (0.14)
Q1 2018 462.58 74.3 % 0.31 (23.51) 486.09 0.32
Q2 2018 878.66 263.1 % 0.59 (1.33) 879.99 0.59
Q3 2018 471.91 23.8 % 0.31 - 471.91 0.31
Q4 2018 (110.90) 49.7 % (0.07) - (110.90) (0.07)
Q1 2019 (197.49) (142.7 %) (0.13) - (197.49) (0.13)

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2010 - - -
Q2 2010 - - -
Q3 2010 - - -
Q4 2010 - - -
Q1 2011 - - -
Q2 2011 - - -
Q3 2011 - - -
Q4 2011 1.35 % 16.92 % (9.96 %)
Q1 2012 3.70 % 21.55 % (6.79 %)
Q2 2012 1.37 % 19.05 % (9.08 %)
Q3 2012 1.62 % 19.64 % (8.46 %)
Q4 2012 1.60 % 19.88 % (8.14 %)
Q1 2013 0.82 % 19.41 % (8.99 %)
Q2 2013 1.37 % 23.60 % (8.07 %)
Q3 2013 3.70 % 25.88 % (5.26 %)
Q4 2013 5.87 % 24.25 % (3.35 %)
Q1 2014 7.25 % 24.70 % (1.62 %)
Q2 2014 8.07 % 22.57 % (0.64 %)
Q3 2014 8.05 % 21.45 % (0.44 %)
Q4 2014 8.36 % 25.33 % (0.38 %)
Q1 2015 3.29 % 22.85 % (6.16 %)
Q2 2015 4.92 % 26.19 % (5.45 %)
Q3 2015 4.95 % 28.93 % (7.04 %)
Q4 2015 (2.62 %) 23.62 % (15.58 %)
Q1 2016 4.35 % 28.35 % (10.41 %)
Q2 2016 7.50 % 29.78 % (8.92 %)
Q3 2016 11.26 % 31.82 % (6.65 %)
Q4 2016 20.97 % 39.26 % 2.10 %
Q1 2017 24.49 % 41.16 % 7.17 %
Q2 2017 24.87 % 41.90 % 8.50 %
Q3 2017 25.89 % 42.76 % 10.39 %
Q4 2017 22.50 % 39.48 % 7.46 %
Q1 2018 23.70 % 40.57 % 8.93 %
Q2 2018 27.52 % 42.11 % 13.62 %
Q3 2018 27.21 % 40.68 % 13.59 %
Q4 2018 27.44 % 40.23 % 14.08 %
Q1 2019 22.93 % 35.96 % 8.64 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2010 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.32
Q2 2010 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.31
Q3 2010 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.31
Q4 2010 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.31
Q1 2011 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.30
Q2 2011 1,500.00 (0.02) (0.02) 10.29
Q3 2011 1,500.00 (0.04) (0.04) 10.27
Q4 2011 1,500.00 (0.17) (0.16) 10.14
Q1 2012 1,500.00 (0.21) (0.20) 10.09
Q2 2012 1,500.00 (0.42) (0.41) 9.88
Q3 2012 1,500.00 (0.51) (0.51) 9.76
Q4 2012 1,500.00 (0.51) (0.51) 9.63
Q1 2013 1,500.00 (0.57) (0.57) 9.52
Q2 2013 1,500.00 (0.51) (0.51) 9.36
Q3 2013 1,500.00 (0.36) (0.36) 9.39
Q4 2013 1,500.00 (0.23) (0.23) 9.40
Q1 2014 1,500.00 (0.12) (0.12) 9.40
Q2 2014 1,500.00 (0.05) (0.05) 9.31
Q3 2014 1,500.00 (0.04) (0.04) 9.36
Q4 2014 1,500.00 (0.03) (0.03) 9.37
Q1 2015 1,500.00 (0.43) (0.43) 8.97
Q2 2015 1,500.00 (0.35) (0.35) 8.96
Q3 2015 1,500.00 (0.40) (0.40) 8.95
Q4 2015 1,500.00 (0.83) (0.83) 8.54
Q1 2016 1,500.00 (0.56) (0.55) 8.58
Q2 2016 1,500.00 (0.49) (0.47) 8.45
Q3 2016 1,500.00 (0.38) (0.36) 8.56
Q4 2016 1,500.00 0.10 0.12 8.83
Q1 2017 1,500.00 0.41 0.46 9.01
Q2 2017 1,500.00 0.50 0.55 9.17
Q3 2017 1,500.00 0.65 0.70 9.42
Q4 2017 1,500.00 0.45 0.50 9.27
Q1 2018 1,500.00 0.58 0.60 9.60
Q2 2018 1,500.00 1.00 1.02 10.18
Q3 2018 1,500.00 1.06 1.08 10.50
Q4 2018 1,500.00 1.13 1.15 10.47
Q1 2019 1,500.00 0.69 0.70 10.32

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2010 NEG NEG 1.87
Q2 2010 NEG NEG 1.74
Q3 2010 NEG NEG 1.72
Q4 2010 NEG NEG 1.87
Q1 2011 NEG NEG 1.81
Q2 2011 NEG NEG 1.79
Q3 2011 NEG NEG 1.66
Q4 2011 NEG NEG 1.72
Q1 2012 NEG NEG 2.00
Q2 2012 NEG NEG 1.51
Q3 2012 NEG NEG 1.34
Q4 2012 NEG NEG 1.26
Q1 2013 NEG NEG 1.21
Q2 2013 NEG NEG 1.22
Q3 2013 NEG NEG 1.28
Q4 2013 NEG NEG 1.67
Q1 2014 NEG NEG 1.76
Q2 2014 NEG NEG 1.58
Q3 2014 NEG NEG 1.78
Q4 2014 NEG NEG 1.17
Q1 2015 NEG NEG 1.20
Q2 2015 NEG NEG 1.20
Q3 2015 NEG NEG 0.93
Q4 2015 NEG NEG 0.79
Q1 2016 NEG NEG 0.59
Q2 2016 NEG NEG 0.77
Q3 2016 NEG NEG 0.63
Q4 2016 87.20 73.29 1.00
Q1 2017 19.42 17.30 0.88
Q2 2017 17.45 15.97 0.96
Q3 2017 13.82 12.87 0.96
Q4 2017 23.98 21.50 1.15
Q1 2018 23.71 22.88 1.43
Q2 2018 15.76 15.44 1.55
Q3 2018 15.90 15.61 1.61
Q4 2018 11.63 11.46 1.26
Q1 2019 20.24 20.21 1.36

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q1 2019 (e) Q1 2019 (a) Change‬
Average 208.33 (197.49) (194.8 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q1 2019 (e) Q1 2019 (a) Change
Sico 334.00 (197.49) (159.1) %
SNB Capital 203.00 (197.49) (197.3) %
Riyad Capital 158.00 (197.49) (225.0) %
AlJazira Capital 138.30 (197.49) (242.8) %

Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 10,305.00
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 18,965.11
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 1,500.00
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) (1.16)
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 8.10
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) Neg
P/E (TTM) NEG
Price/book 0.85
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) (6.64 )
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) (13.30 )

Share Price

6.87
(0.03) (0.43 %)

Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Co. (SAUDI KAYAN)


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