Saudi Kayan’s Q3 net profit more than doubles in 9M 2018

Saudi Kayan’s Q3 net profit more than doubles in 9M 2018

21/10/2018 Argaam Exclusive

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Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Co. reported a net profit of SAR 1.81 billion for the first nine months of 2018, more than double its net profit for the same period last year.

 

The firm attributed the jump in earnings to improved operating performance in most plants, leading to an increase in production and sales quantities. Also, average selling prices rose for the period despite a rise in feedstock prices.



Financials (M)

Item 9m 2017 9m 2018 Change‬
Revenues 7,678.99 9,627.64 25.4 %
Gross Income 2,072.79 3,091.78 49.2 %
Operating Income 1,618.86 2,599.05 60.5 %
Net Income 888.50 1,813.15 104.1 %
Average Shares 1,500.00 1,500.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.59 1.21 104.1 %

Net profit in Q3 rose about 24 percent year-on-year (YoY) to SAR 472 million on an increase in production and sales quantities and higher selling prices.

 

On a quarter-on-quarter basis, net profit halved in Q3 compared to the previous quarter due to a decrease in selling prices and higher feedstock prices.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Change‬
Revenues 2,703.09 3,376.06 24.9 %
Gross Income 780.94 929.49 19.0 %
Operating Income 624.02 761.53 22.0 %
Net Income 381.03 471.91 23.8 %
Average Shares 1,500.00 1,500.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.25 0.31 23.8 %


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2009 - - - - (6.27) -
Q2 2009 - - - - (6.49) -
Q3 2009 - - - - (3.72) -
Q4 2009 - - - - (0.37) -
Q1 2010 - - - - (3.68) 41.3 %
Q2 2010 - - - - (1.60) 75.3 %
Q3 2010 - - - - (5.05) (35.5 %)
Q4 2010 - - - - (3.92) (957.7 %)
Q1 2011 - - - - (3.46) 5.8 %
Q2 2011 - - - - (3.38) (111.3 %)
Q3 2011 - - - - (4.14) 18.0 %
Q4 2011 2,403.41 - 32.44 - (45.19) (1,051.5 %)
Q1 2012 2,043.31 - 132.23 - 75.65 2285.8 %
Q2 2012 2,316.89 - (72.29) - (162.15) (4,700.1 %)
Q3 2012 2,196.23 - 52.68 - (24.86) (500.8 %)
Q4 2012 2,925.81 21.7 % 38.99 20.2 % (67.49) (49.4 %)
Q1 2013 2,079.89 1.8 % 58.73 (55.6 %) (10.73) (114.2 %)
Q2 2013 2,288.05 (1.2 %) (20.14) 72.1 % (106.55) 34.3 %
Q3 2013 3,052.20 39.0 % 304.95 478.9 % 198.20 897.4 %
Q4 2013 2,932.52 0.2 % 264.49 578.4 % 160.27 337.5 %
Q1 2014 2,909.36 39.9 % 260.96 344.4 % 161.50 1604.9 %
Q2 2014 2,965.26 29.6 % 126.54 728.2 % 7.23 106.8 %
Q3 2014 3,235.38 6.0 % 317.95 4.3 % 207.06 4.5 %
Q4 2014 2,526.04 (13.9 %) 267.87 1.3 % 144.72 (9.7 %)
Q1 2015 1,752.65 (39.8 %) (367.86) (241.0 %) (442.91) (374.2 %)
Q2 2015 2,149.08 (27.5 %) 257.85 103.8 % 150.02 1975.8 %
Q3 2015 2,194.63 (32.2 %) 269.19 (15.3 %) 174.88 (15.5 %)
Q4 2015 1,879.36 (25.6 %) (368.21) (237.5 %) (475.53) (428.6 %)
Q1 2016 1,692.59 (3.4 %) 185.21 150.3 % 11.55 102.6 %
Q2 2016 2,154.63 0.3 % 508.21 97.1 % 311.41 107.6 %
Q3 2016 2,313.08 5.4 % 579.95 115.4 % 385.77 120.6 %
Q4 2016 2,448.52 30.3 % 531.95 244.5 % 350.46 173.7 %
Q1 2017 2,667.18 57.6 % 726.70 292.4 % 554.92 4703.2 %
Q2 2017 2,308.72 7.2 % 582.69 14.7 % 438.87 40.9 %
Q3 2017 2,703.09 16.9 % 780.94 34.7 % 624.02 61.8 %
Q4 2017 2,304.93 (5.9 %) 155.60 (70.7 %) 11.62 (96.7 %)
Q1 2018 2,727.33 2.3 % 861.63 18.6 % 721.07 29.9 %
Q2 2018 3,524.25 52.6 % 1,300.66 123.2 % 1,116.46 154.4 %
Q3 2018 3,376.06 24.9 % 929.49 19.0 % 761.53 22.0 %


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2009 (6.27) (106.6 %) 0.00 - (6.27) 0.00
Q2 2009 (6.49) (110.9 %) 0.00 - (6.49) 0.00
Q3 2009 (3.72) (115.1 %) 0.00 - (3.72) 0.00
Q4 2009 (0.44) 94.7 % 0.00 - (0.44) 0.00
Q1 2010 (3.77) 39.8 % 0.00 - (3.77) 0.00
Q2 2010 (1.80) 72.3 % 0.00 - (1.80) 0.00
Q3 2010 (5.07) (36.1 %) 0.00 - (5.07) 0.00
Q4 2010 (3.98) (800.2 %) 0.00 - (3.98) 0.00
Q1 2011 (8.33) (121.1 %) (0.01) - (8.33) (0.01)
Q2 2011 (16.01) (791.4 %) (0.01) - (16.01) (0.01)
Q3 2011 (35.16) (593.7 %) (0.02) - (35.16) (0.02)
Q4 2011 (190.75) (4,693.9 %) (0.13) (10.98) (179.78) (0.12)
Q1 2012 (71.12) (753.5 %) (0.05) - (71.12) (0.05)
Q2 2012 (328.32) (1,950.7 %) (0.22) - (328.32) (0.22)
Q3 2012 (178.37) (407.3 %) (0.12) - (178.37) (0.12)
Q4 2012 (194.45) (1.9 %) (0.13) - (194.45) (0.13)
Q1 2013 (154.87) (117.8 %) (0.10) - (154.87) (0.10)
Q2 2013 (238.24) 27.4 % (0.16) - (238.24) (0.16)
Q3 2013 43.27 124.3 % 0.03 - 43.27 0.03
Q4 2013 3.42 101.8 % 0.00 - 3.42 0.00
Q1 2014 9.94 106.4 % 0.01 - 9.94 0.01
Q2 2014 (133.09) 44.1 % (0.09) - (133.09) (0.09)
Q3 2014 66.91 54.6 % 0.04 - 66.91 0.04
Q4 2014 11.78 244.7 % 0.01 - 11.78 0.01
Q1 2015 (591.64) (6052.2 %) (0.39) - (591.64) (0.39)
Q2 2015 (13.42) 89.9 % (0.01) - (13.42) (0.01)
Q3 2015 (13.81) (120.6 %) (0.01) - (13.81) (0.01)
Q4 2015 (624.14) (5397.8 %) (0.42) - (624.14) (0.42)
Q1 2016 (194.99) 67.0 % (0.13) (22.64) (172.35) (0.11)
Q2 2016 97.31 825.1 % 0.06 (6.23) 103.54 0.07
Q3 2016 158.16 1245.6 % 0.11 - 158.16 0.11
Q4 2016 91.58 114.7 % 0.06 - 91.58 0.06
Q1 2017 265.46 236.1 % 0.18 (68.78) 334.24 0.22
Q2 2017 242.01 148.7 % 0.16 (1.75) 243.75 0.16
Q3 2017 381.03 140.9 % 0.25 (2.16) 383.19 0.26
Q4 2017 (220.32) (340.6 %) (0.15) (4.13) (216.20) (0.14)
Q1 2018 462.58 74.3 % 0.31 (23.51) 486.09 0.32
Q2 2018 878.66 263.1 % 0.59 (1.33) 879.99 0.59
Q3 2018 471.91 23.8 % 0.31 - 471.91 0.31

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2009 - - -
Q2 2009 - - -
Q3 2009 - - -
Q4 2009 - - -
Q1 2010 - - -
Q2 2010 - - -
Q3 2010 - - -
Q4 2010 - - -
Q1 2011 - - -
Q2 2011 - - -
Q3 2011 - - -
Q4 2011 1.35 % 16.92 % (9.96 %)
Q1 2012 3.70 % 21.55 % (6.79 %)
Q2 2012 1.37 % 19.05 % (9.08 %)
Q3 2012 1.62 % 19.64 % (8.46 %)
Q4 2012 1.60 % 19.88 % (8.14 %)
Q1 2013 0.82 % 19.41 % (8.99 %)
Q2 2013 1.37 % 23.60 % (8.07 %)
Q3 2013 3.70 % 25.88 % (5.26 %)
Q4 2013 5.87 % 24.25 % (3.35 %)
Q1 2014 7.25 % 24.70 % (1.62 %)
Q2 2014 8.07 % 22.57 % (0.64 %)
Q3 2014 8.05 % 21.45 % (0.44 %)
Q4 2014 8.36 % 25.33 % (0.38 %)
Q1 2015 3.29 % 22.85 % (6.16 %)
Q2 2015 4.92 % 26.19 % (5.45 %)
Q3 2015 4.95 % 28.93 % (7.04 %)
Q4 2015 (2.62 %) 23.62 % (15.58 %)
Q1 2016 4.35 % 28.35 % (10.41 %)
Q2 2016 7.50 % 29.78 % (8.92 %)
Q3 2016 11.26 % 31.82 % (6.65 %)
Q4 2016 20.97 % 39.26 % 2.10 %
Q1 2017 24.49 % 41.16 % 7.17 %
Q2 2017 24.87 % 41.90 % 8.50 %
Q3 2017 25.89 % 42.76 % 10.39 %
Q4 2017 22.50 % 39.48 % 7.46 %
Q1 2018 23.70 % 40.57 % 8.93 %
Q2 2018 27.52 % 42.11 % 13.62 %
Q3 2018 27.21 % 40.68 % 13.59 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2009 1,500.00 0.05 0.05 10.33
Q2 2009 1,500.00 0.00 0.02 10.32
Q3 2009 1,500.00 (0.02) 0.00 10.32
Q4 2009 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.32
Q1 2010 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.32
Q2 2010 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.31
Q3 2010 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.31
Q4 2010 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.31
Q1 2011 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.30
Q2 2011 1,500.00 (0.02) (0.02) 10.29
Q3 2011 1,500.00 (0.04) (0.04) 10.27
Q4 2011 1,500.00 (0.17) (0.16) 10.14
Q1 2012 1,500.00 (0.21) (0.20) 10.09
Q2 2012 1,500.00 (0.42) (0.41) 9.88
Q3 2012 1,500.00 (0.51) (0.51) 9.76
Q4 2012 1,500.00 (0.51) (0.51) 9.63
Q1 2013 1,500.00 (0.57) (0.57) 9.52
Q2 2013 1,500.00 (0.51) (0.51) 9.36
Q3 2013 1,500.00 (0.36) (0.36) 9.39
Q4 2013 1,500.00 (0.23) (0.23) 9.40
Q1 2014 1,500.00 (0.12) (0.12) 9.40
Q2 2014 1,500.00 (0.05) (0.05) 9.31
Q3 2014 1,500.00 (0.04) (0.04) 9.36
Q4 2014 1,500.00 (0.03) (0.03) 9.37
Q1 2015 1,500.00 (0.43) (0.43) 8.97
Q2 2015 1,500.00 (0.35) (0.35) 8.96
Q3 2015 1,500.00 (0.40) (0.40) 8.95
Q4 2015 1,500.00 (0.83) (0.83) 8.54
Q1 2016 1,500.00 (0.56) (0.55) 8.58
Q2 2016 1,500.00 (0.49) (0.47) 8.45
Q3 2016 1,500.00 (0.38) (0.36) 8.56
Q4 2016 1,500.00 0.10 0.12 8.83
Q1 2017 1,500.00 0.41 0.46 9.01
Q2 2017 1,500.00 0.50 0.55 9.17
Q3 2017 1,500.00 0.65 0.70 9.42
Q4 2017 1,500.00 0.45 0.50 9.27
Q1 2018 1,500.00 0.58 0.60 9.60
Q2 2018 1,500.00 1.00 1.02 10.18
Q3 2018 1,500.00 1.06 1.08 10.50

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2009 More than 100 More than 100 1.01
Q2 2009 More than 100 More than 100 1.33
Q3 2009 NEG NEG 1.49
Q4 2009 NEG NEG 1.76
Q1 2010 NEG NEG 1.87
Q2 2010 NEG NEG 1.74
Q3 2010 NEG NEG 1.72
Q4 2010 NEG NEG 1.87
Q1 2011 NEG NEG 1.81
Q2 2011 NEG NEG 1.79
Q3 2011 NEG NEG 1.66
Q4 2011 NEG NEG 1.72
Q1 2012 NEG NEG 2.00
Q2 2012 NEG NEG 1.51
Q3 2012 NEG NEG 1.34
Q4 2012 NEG NEG 1.26
Q1 2013 NEG NEG 1.21
Q2 2013 NEG NEG 1.22
Q3 2013 NEG NEG 1.28
Q4 2013 NEG NEG 1.67
Q1 2014 NEG NEG 1.76
Q2 2014 NEG NEG 1.58
Q3 2014 NEG NEG 1.78
Q4 2014 NEG NEG 1.17
Q1 2015 NEG NEG 1.20
Q2 2015 NEG NEG 1.20
Q3 2015 NEG NEG 0.93
Q4 2015 NEG NEG 0.79
Q1 2016 NEG NEG 0.59
Q2 2016 NEG NEG 0.77
Q3 2016 NEG NEG 0.63
Q4 2016 87.20 73.29 1.00
Q1 2017 19.42 17.30 0.88
Q2 2017 17.45 15.97 0.96
Q3 2017 13.82 12.87 0.96
Q4 2017 23.98 21.50 1.15
Q1 2018 23.71 22.88 1.43
Q2 2018 15.76 15.44 1.55
Q3 2018 15.90 15.61 1.61

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q3 2018 (e) Q3 2018 (a) Change‬
Average 590.78 471.91 (20.1 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q3 2018 (e) Q3 2018 (a) Change
Sico 501.00 471.91 (5.8) %
SNB Capital 431.00 471.91 9.5 %
OSOOL AND BAKHEET 550.00 471.91 (14.2) %
AlJazira Capital 714.90 471.91 (34.0) %
Riyad Capital 757.00 471.91 (37.7) %


Financial Ratios
Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 10,305.00
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 18,965.11
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 1,500.00
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) (1.16)
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 8.10
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) Neg
P/E (TTM) NEG
Price/book 0.85
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) (6.64 )
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) (13.30 )
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Share Price

Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Co.
6.87
(0.03) (0.43 %)

Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Co. (SAUDI KAYAN)

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