MEPCO’s net profit jumps 85% in 9M 2016

MEPCO’s net profit jumps 85% in 9M 2016

18/10/2016 Argaam Exclusive

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Middle East Paper Co.’s (MEPCO) net income surged 85 percent year-on-year to SAR 96.6 million in the first nine months of 2016 on a non-recurring gain recognized on claim for expropriated land and premises by National Water Company, as well as an increase in gain on derivative financial instruments and decrease in other expenses.



Financials (M)

Item 9m 2015 9m 2016 Change‬
Revenues 541.67 489.49 (9.6 %)
Gross Income 137.16 105.93 (22.8 %)
Operating Income 71.32 33.81 (52.6 %)
Net Income 52.35 107.37 105.1 %
Average Shares 66.67 66.67 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.79 1.61 105.1 %

The company recorded a net loss of SAR 2.1 million in the third quarter against SAR 9.6 million profit in the same quarter last year because of a drop in sales volume and prices and an increase in energy costs and administrative expenses.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Change‬
Revenues 172.83 148.13 (14.3 %)
Gross Income 41.85 28.76 (31.3 %)
Operating Income 16.89 6.28 (62.8 %)
Net Income 9.58 2.28 (76.2 %)
Average Shares 66.67 66.67 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.14 0.03 (76.2 %)


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2007 - - - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - - - -
Q1 2008 - - - - - -
Q2 2008 - - - - - -
Q3 2008 - - - - - -
Q4 2008 - - - - - -
Q1 2009 - - - - - -
Q2 2009 - - - - - -
Q3 2009 - - - - - -
Q4 2009 - - - - - -
Q1 2010 - - - - - -
Q2 2010 - - - - - -
Q3 2010 - - - - - -
Q4 2010 - - - - - -
Q1 2011 - - - - - -
Q2 2011 - - - - - -
Q3 2011 - - - - - -
Q4 2011 - - - - - -
Q1 2012 - - - - - -
Q2 2012 - - - - - -
Q3 2012 - - - - - -
Q4 2012 - - - - - -
Q1 2013 175.85 - 41.28 - 20.60 -
Q2 2013 195.47 - 50.61 - 29.56 -
Q3 2013 200.50 - 61.21 - 41.72 -
Q4 2013 188.35 - 50.81 - 32.76 -
Q1 2014 200.96 14.3 % 52.97 28.3 % 29.65 44.0 %
Q2 2014 203.05 3.9 % 59.04 16.7 % 36.78 24.4 %
Q3 2014 219.60 9.5 % 68.98 12.7 % 43.91 5.3 %
Q4 2014 202.50 7.5 % 53.41 5.1 % 31.88 (2.7 %)
Q1 2015 184.71 (8.1 %) 47.14 (11.0 %) 28.15 (5.1 %)
Q2 2015 184.14 (9.3 %) 48.17 (18.4 %) 26.28 (28.5 %)
Q3 2015 172.83 (21.3 %) 41.85 (39.3 %) 16.89 (61.5 %)
Q4 2015 139.50 (31.1 %) 35.70 (33.2 %) 10.55 (66.9 %)
Q1 2016 176.54 (4.4 %) 48.80 3.5 % 24.52 (12.9 %)
Q2 2016 164.82 (10.5 %) 28.37 (41.1 %) 3.01 (88.6 %)
Q3 2016 148.13 (14.3 %) 28.76 (31.3 %) 6.28 (62.8 %)


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2007 - - - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - - - -
Q1 2008 - - - - - -
Q2 2008 - - - - - -
Q3 2008 - - - - - -
Q4 2008 - - - - - -
Q1 2009 - - - - - -
Q2 2009 - - - - - -
Q3 2009 - - - - - -
Q4 2009 - - - - - -
Q1 2010 - - - - - -
Q2 2010 - - - - - -
Q3 2010 - - - - - -
Q4 2010 - - - - - -
Q1 2011 - - - - - -
Q2 2011 - - - - - -
Q3 2011 - - - - - -
Q4 2011 - - - - - -
Q1 2012 - - - - - -
Q2 2012 - - - - - -
Q3 2012 - - - - - -
Q4 2012 - - - - - -
Q1 2013 11.26 - 0.17 - 11.26 0.17
Q2 2013 22.76 - 0.34 - 22.76 0.34
Q3 2013 31.50 - 0.47 - 31.50 0.47
Q4 2013 22.56 - 0.34 - 22.56 0.34
Q1 2014 22.83 102.7 % 0.34 - 22.83 0.34
Q2 2014 29.26 28.6 % 0.44 - 29.26 0.44
Q3 2014 36.35 15.4 % 0.55 - 36.35 0.55
Q4 2014 22.91 1.5 % 0.34 - 22.91 0.34
Q1 2015 23.20 1.6 % 0.35 - 23.20 0.35
Q2 2015 19.57 (33.1 %) 0.29 - 19.57 0.29
Q3 2015 9.58 (73.6 %) 0.14 - 9.58 0.14
Q4 2015 2.77 (87.9 %) 0.04 - 2.77 0.04
Q1 2016 16.78 (27.7 %) 0.25 - 16.78 0.25
Q2 2016 88.31 351.3 % 1.32 91.96 (3.65) (0.05)
Q3 2016 2.28 (76.2 %) 0.03 - 2.28 0.03

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2007 - - -
Q2 2007 - - -
Q3 2007 - - -
Q4 2007 - - -
Q1 2008 - - -
Q2 2008 - - -
Q3 2008 - - -
Q4 2008 - - -
Q1 2009 - - -
Q2 2009 - - -
Q3 2009 - - -
Q4 2009 - - -
Q1 2010 - - -
Q2 2010 - - -
Q3 2010 - - -
Q4 2010 - - -
Q1 2011 - - -
Q2 2011 - - -
Q3 2011 - - -
Q4 2011 - - -
Q1 2012 - - -
Q2 2012 - - -
Q3 2012 - - -
Q4 2012 - - -
Q1 2013 - - -
Q2 2013 - - -
Q3 2013 - - -
Q4 2013 26.82 % 26.56 % 11.59 %
Q1 2014 27.46 % 27.05 % 12.69 %
Q2 2014 28.26 % 28.06 % 13.39 %
Q3 2014 28.55 % 28.01 % 13.67 %
Q4 2014 28.37 % 27.86 % 13.48 %
Q1 2015 28.22 % 28.65 % 13.79 %
Q2 2015 27.52 % 28.28 % 12.90 %
Q3 2015 25.61 % 26.90 % 10.11 %
Q4 2015 25.38 % 26.78 % 8.09 %
Q1 2016 25.93 % 25.91 % 7.23 %
Q2 2016 23.67 % 22.33 % 3.90 %
Q3 2016 22.52 % 20.72 % 2.89 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2007 - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - -
Q1 2008 - - - -
Q2 2008 - - - -
Q3 2008 - - - -
Q4 2008 - - - -
Q1 2009 - - - -
Q2 2009 - - - -
Q3 2009 - - - -
Q4 2009 - - - -
Q1 2010 - - - -
Q2 2010 - - - -
Q3 2010 - - - -
Q4 2010 66.67 - - 5.15
Q1 2011 - - - -
Q2 2011 - - - -
Q3 2011 - - - -
Q4 2011 66.67 - - 6.47
Q1 2012 - - - -
Q2 2012 - - - -
Q3 2012 - - - -
Q4 2012 66.67 - - 7.04
Q1 2013 66.67 - - 7.21
Q2 2013 66.67 - - 7.55
Q3 2013 66.67 - - 8.02
Q4 2013 66.67 1.32 1.32 7.99
Q1 2014 66.67 1.49 1.49 8.33
Q2 2014 66.67 1.59 1.59 8.15
Q3 2014 66.67 1.66 1.66 8.70
Q4 2014 66.67 1.67 1.67 9.04
Q1 2015 66.67 1.68 1.68 9.39
Q2 2015 66.67 1.53 1.53 9.68
Q3 2015 66.67 1.13 1.13 9.83
Q4 2015 66.67 0.83 0.83 9.87
Q1 2016 66.67 0.73 0.73 9.62
Q2 2016 66.67 1.76 0.38 10.57
Q3 2016 66.67 1.65 0.27 10.59

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2007 - - -
Q2 2007 - - -
Q3 2007 - - -
Q4 2007 - - -
Q1 2008 - - -
Q2 2008 - - -
Q3 2008 - - -
Q4 2008 - - -
Q1 2009 - - -
Q2 2009 - - -
Q3 2009 - - -
Q4 2009 - - -
Q1 2010 - - -
Q2 2010 - - -
Q3 2010 - - -
Q4 2010 - - -
Q1 2011 - - -
Q2 2011 - - -
Q3 2011 - - -
Q4 2011 - - -
Q1 2012 - - -
Q2 2012 - - -
Q3 2012 - - -
Q4 2012 - - -
Q1 2013 - - -
Q2 2013 - - -
Q3 2013 - - -
Q4 2013 - - -
Q1 2014 - - -
Q2 2014 - - -
Q3 2014 - - -
Q4 2014 - - -
Q1 2015 - - -
Q2 2015 26.14 26.14 4.13
Q3 2015 25.29 25.29 2.90
Q4 2015 30.07 30.07 2.52
Q1 2016 24.74 24.74 1.88
Q2 2016 10.23 47.15 1.71
Q3 2016 8.19 49.60 1.28

Business Segments (Million)

Compared With The
Period The industrial sector The commercial sector Disposals
Q1 2013 158.35 71.46 (53.97)
Q2 2013 178.71 81.47 (64.72)
Q3 2013 185.64 77.94 (63.08)
Q4 2013 178.20 71.61 (61.46)
Q1 2014 189.39 64.27 (52.69)
Q2 2014 186.73 82.23 (65.90)
Q3 2014 204.13 83.05 (67.58)
Q4 2014 190.08 90.98 (78.55)
Q1 2015 149.78 73.94 (39.01)
Q2 2015 170.79 72.52 (59.17)
Q3 2015 171.60 59.18 (57.94)
Q4 2015 142.39 54.31 (57.21)
Q1 2016 167.90 61.40 (52.77)
Q2 2016 147.30 58.38 (40.87)
Q3 2016 137.14 62.02 (51.03)

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q3 2016 (e) Q3 2016 (a) Change‬
Average 7.00 2.28 (67.4 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q3 2016 (e) Q3 2016 (a) Change
OSOOL AND BAKHEET 7.00 2.28 (67.4) %


Financial Ratios
Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 3,293.46
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 3,282.02
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 86.67
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) (0.80)
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 19.07
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) Neg
P/E (TTM) NEG
Price/book 1.99
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) (3.04 )
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) (5.01 )
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Share Price

Middle East Paper Co.
37.95
(0.30) (0.78 %)

Middle East Paper Co. (MEPCO)

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