Zain Saudi swings to profit in 9M 2019

Zain Saudi swings to profit in 9M 2019

24/10/2019 Argaam Exclusive

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Mobile Telecommunications Company Saudi Arabia (Zain Saudi) reported a net profit after zakat and tax of SAR 380 million for the first 9 months of 2019, versus a net loss of SAR 67 million in year-earlier period, driven by robust revenues on higher market demand.



Financials (M)

Item 9m 2018 9m 2019 Change‬
Revenues 5,484.28 6,158.33 12.3 %
Gross Income 3,599.90 4,499.14 25.0 %
Operating Income 698.82 1,328.04 90.0 %
Net Income (66.90) 380.22 668.4 %
Average Shares 573.22 573.22 -
EPS (Riyals) (0.12) 0.66 668.4 %

The telecom operator’s net profit after zakat and tax for Q3 2019 more than doubled YoY to SAR 121 million, due to a rise of SAR 56 million in revenue in addition to an increased demand for the telco’s products.

 

The telco also cited lower operating expenses, in addition to writing back SAR 129 in provisions in this quarter.

 

On a sequential basis, Q3 2019 net profit slid by 6.9 percent.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q3 2018 Q3 2019 Change‬
Revenues 1,951.88 2,008.08 2.9 %
Gross Income 1,320.57 1,495.03 13.2 %
Operating Income 307.34 450.21 46.5 %
Net Income 48.01 120.71 151.5 %
Average Shares 573.22 573.22 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.08 0.21 151.5 %


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2010 1,094.23 88.1 % 384.34 163.3 % (435.29) 33.6 %
Q2 2010 1,450.41 106.8 % 608.03 358.6 % (314.45) 55.5 %
Q3 2010 1,661.95 101.3 % 712.13 193.1 % (235.17) 64.8 %
Q4 2010 1,727.78 93.0 % 825.94 132.3 % (178.67) 59.1 %
Q1 2011 1,484.22 35.6 % 716.02 86.3 % (233.11) 46.4 %
Q2 2011 1,704.65 17.5 % 923.22 51.8 % (143.80) 54.3 %
Q3 2011 1,794.81 8.0 % 870.12 22.2 % (221.60) 5.8 %
Q4 2011 1,715.39 (0.7 %) 690.82 (16.4 %) (212.97) (19.2 %)
Q1 2012 1,521.59 2.5 % 702.20 (1.9 %) (191.20) 18.0 %
Q2 2012 1,629.02 (4.4 %) 707.12 (23.4 %) (174.00) (21.0 %)
Q3 2012 1,529.90 (14.8 %) 711.62 (18.2 %) (304.79) (37.5 %)
Q4 2012 1,490.16 (13.1 %) 738.98 7.0 % (261.61) (22.8 %)
Q1 2013 1,719.40 13.0 % 776.23 10.5 % (232.94) (21.8 %)
Q2 2013 1,706.35 4.7 % 830.76 17.5 % (206.12) (18.5 %)
Q3 2013 1,573.32 2.8 % 760.98 6.9 % (239.00) 21.6 %
Q4 2013 1,523.52 2.2 % 766.88 3.8 % (271.26) (3.7 %)
Q1 2014 1,545.77 (10.1 %) 798.66 2.9 % (127.18) 45.4 %
Q2 2014 1,567.13 (8.2 %) 797.05 (4.1 %) (135.83) 34.1 %
Q3 2014 1,553.00 (1.3 %) 810.67 6.5 % (218.60) 8.5 %
Q4 2014 1,556.46 2.2 % 816.27 6.4 % (187.47) 30.9 %
Q1 2015 1,656.79 7.2 % 874.43 9.5 % (59.05) 53.6 %
Q2 2015 1,648.83 5.2 % 949.40 19.1 % 0.94 100.7 %
Q3 2015 1,763.73 13.6 % 1,062.18 31.0 % (0.89) 99.6 %
Q4 2015 1,672.03 7.4 % 1,065.09 30.5 % (82.42) 56.0 %
Q1 2016 1,764.88 6.5 % 1,085.55 24.1 % (32.03) 45.8 %
Q2 2016 1,727.40 4.8 % 1,112.80 17.2 % (108.29) (11620.3 %)
Q3 2016 1,633.76 (7.4 %) 1,060.63 (0.1 %) (1.97) (120.0 %)
Q4 2016 1,800.61 7.7 % 1,141.69 7.2 % 87.85 206.6 %
Q1 2017 1,919.05 8.7 % 1,290.99 18.9 % 272.70 951.5 %
Q2 2017 1,864.57 7.9 % 1,258.55 13.1 % 235.01 317.0 %
Q3 2017 1,806.56 10.6 % 1,230.87 16.1 % 228.95 11739.3 %
Q4 2017 1,715.65 (4.7 %) 1,132.61 (0.8 %) 166.58 89.6 %
Q1 2018 1,685.97 (12.1 %) 1,117.37 (13.4 %) 180.33 (33.9 %)
Q2 2018 1,846.43 (1.0 %) 1,161.96 (7.7 %) 211.14 (10.2 %)
Q3 2018 1,951.88 8.0 % 1,320.57 7.3 % 307.34 34.2 %
Q4 2018 2,046.24 19.3 % 1,824.66 61.1 % 674.60 305.0 %
Q1 2019 2,093.49 24.2 % 1,480.38 32.5 % 431.78 139.4 %
Q2 2019 2,056.76 11.4 % 1,523.73 31.1 % 446.05 111.3 %
Q3 2019 2,008.08 2.9 % 1,495.03 13.2 % 450.21 46.5 %


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2010 (662.45) 13.4 % (3.01) - (662.45) (3.01)
Q2 2010 (631.59) 26.3 % (2.87) - (631.59) (2.87)
Q3 2010 (543.79) 33.7 % (2.47) - (543.79) (2.47)
Q4 2010 (520.61) 20.8 % (2.36) - (520.61) (2.36)
Q1 2011 (531.75) 19.7 % (2.41) - (531.75) (2.41)
Q2 2011 (448.18) 29.0 % (2.03) - (448.18) (2.03)
Q3 2011 (483.81) 11.0 % (2.20) - (483.81) (2.20)
Q4 2011 (461.46) 11.4 % (2.09) - (461.46) (2.09)
Q1 2012 (419.99) 21.0 % (1.91) - (419.99) (1.91)
Q2 2012 (393.64) 12.2 % (1.79) - (393.64) (1.79)
Q3 2012 (493.00) (1.9 %) (0.86) - (493.00) (0.86)
Q4 2012 (442.78) 4.0 % (0.77) - (442.78) (0.77)
Q1 2013 (397.95) 5.2 % (0.69) - (397.95) (0.69)
Q2 2013 (370.41) 5.9 % (0.65) - (370.41) (0.65)
Q3 2013 (420.81) 14.6 % (0.73) - (420.81) (0.73)
Q4 2013 (462.30) (4.4 %) (0.81) - (462.30) (0.81)
Q1 2014 (318.36) 20.0 % (0.56) - (318.36) (0.56)
Q2 2014 (328.94) 11.2 % (0.57) - (328.94) (0.57)
Q3 2014 (315.81) 25.0 % (0.55) 85.00 (400.81) (0.70)
Q4 2014 (306.46) 33.7 % (0.53) 50.47 (356.92) (0.62)
Q1 2015 (256.72) 19.4 % (0.45) - (256.72) (0.45)
Q2 2015 (201.16) 38.8 % (0.35) - (201.16) (0.35)
Q3 2015 (222.95) 29.4 % (0.39) - (222.95) (0.39)
Q4 2015 (291.11) 5.0 % (0.51) - (291.11) (0.51)
Q1 2016 (250.00) 2.6 % (0.44) - (250.00) (0.44)
Q2 2016 (328.30) (63.2 %) (0.57) - (328.30) (0.57)
Q3 2016 (266.11) (19.4 %) (0.46) - (266.11) (0.46)
Q4 2016 (134.13) 53.9 % (0.23) - (134.13) (0.23)
Q1 2017 45.47 118.2 % 0.08 - 45.47 0.08
Q2 2017 7.69 102.3 % 0.01 - 7.69 0.01
Q3 2017 3.41 101.3 % 0.01 - 3.41 0.01
Q4 2017 (45.02) 66.4 % (0.08) - (45.02) (0.08)
Q1 2018 (77.33) (270.1 %) (0.13) - (77.33) (0.13)
Q2 2018 (37.57) (588.4 %) (0.07) - (37.57) (0.07)
Q3 2018 48.01 1309.8 % 0.08 - 48.01 0.08
Q4 2018 399.26 986.8 % 0.70 - 399.26 0.70
Q1 2019 129.31 267.2 % 0.23 - 129.31 0.23
Q2 2019 130.20 446.5 % 0.23 - 130.20 0.23
Q3 2019 120.71 151.5 % 0.21 - 120.71 0.21

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2010 31.72 % (23.12 %) (85.21 %)
Q2 2010 37.30 % (8.97 %) (64.97 %)
Q3 2010 40.38 % 1.01 % (48.91 %)
Q4 2010 42.64 % 5.57 % (39.74 %)
Q1 2011 45.26 % 8.77 % (35.22 %)
Q2 2011 48.30 % 11.75 % (31.08 %)
Q3 2011 49.70 % 12.64 % (29.57 %)
Q4 2011 47.77 % 13.42 % (28.74 %)
Q1 2012 47.30 % 14.66 % (26.92 %)
Q2 2012 44.59 % 14.89 % (26.41 %)
Q3 2012 43.96 % 14.62 % (27.64 %)
Q4 2012 46.35 % 14.24 % (28.35 %)
Q1 2013 46.07 % 13.24 % (27.12 %)
Q2 2013 47.44 % 12.73 % (26.44 %)
Q3 2013 47.88 % 13.68 % (25.15 %)
Q4 2013 48.06 % 13.65 % (25.32 %)
Q1 2014 49.73 % 15.48 % (24.76 %)
Q2 2014 50.30 % 15.95 % (24.65 %)
Q3 2014 51.27 % 15.29 % (24.40 %)
Q4 2014 51.79 % 15.50 % (22.58 %)
Q1 2015 52.08 % 15.99 % (21.21 %)
Q2 2015 53.79 % 18.43 % (18.95 %)
Q3 2015 55.88 % 21.85 % (15.66 %)
Q4 2015 58.61 % 24.16 % (14.42 %)
Q1 2016 60.77 % 25.19 % (14.09 %)
Q2 2016 62.44 % 24.01 % (15.77 %)
Q3 2016 63.61 % 25.15 % (16.70 %)
Q4 2016 63.53 % 25.92 % (14.13 %)
Q1 2017 65.05 % 28.46 % (9.65 %)
Q2 2017 65.83 % 31.52 % (4.81 %)
Q3 2017 66.60 % 32.71 % (1.05 %)
Q4 2017 67.25 % 34.45 % 0.16 %
Q1 2018 67.01 % 34.79 % (1.57 %)
Q2 2018 65.81 % 35.09 % (2.22 %)
Q3 2018 65.73 % 36.27 % (1.55 %)
Q4 2018 72.03 % 42.01 % 4.41 %
Q1 2019 72.91 % 44.85 % 6.79 %
Q2 2019 75.47 % 48.22 % 8.67 %
Q3 2019 77.08 % 51.02 % 9.50 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2010 220.28 (13.60) (13.60) 36.14
Q2 2010 220.28 (12.58) (12.58) 33.27
Q3 2010 220.28 (11.33) (11.33) 29.90
Q4 2010 220.28 (10.71) (10.71) 27.83
Q1 2011 220.28 (10.11) (10.11) 25.58
Q2 2011 220.28 (9.28) (9.28) 23.62
Q3 2011 220.28 (9.01) (9.01) 21.58
Q4 2011 220.28 (8.74) (8.74) 19.49
Q1 2012 220.28 (8.23) (8.23) 17.79
Q2 2012 220.28 (7.98) (7.98) 16.00
Q3 2012 573.22 (3.08) (3.08) 15.53
Q4 2012 573.22 (3.05) (3.05) 14.74
Q1 2013 573.22 (3.01) (3.01) 14.05
Q2 2013 573.22 (2.97) (2.97) 13.40
Q3 2013 573.22 (2.85) (2.85) 12.67
Q4 2013 573.22 (2.88) (2.88) 11.79
Q1 2014 573.22 (2.74) (2.74) 11.22
Q2 2014 573.22 (2.67) (2.67) 10.60
Q3 2014 573.22 (2.49) (2.63) 10.10
Q4 2014 573.22 (2.21) (2.45) 9.53
Q1 2015 573.22 (2.11) (2.34) 9.04
Q2 2015 573.22 (1.88) (2.12) 8.71
Q3 2015 573.22 (1.72) (1.81) 8.31
Q4 2015 573.22 (1.70) (1.70) 7.94
Q1 2016 573.22 (1.68) (1.68) 7.45
Q2 2016 573.22 (1.91) (1.91) 6.88
Q3 2016 573.22 (1.98) (1.98) 6.42
Q4 2016 573.22 (1.71) (1.71) 6.21
Q1 2017 573.22 (1.19) (1.19) 6.28
Q2 2017 573.22 (0.61) (0.61) 6.29
Q3 2017 573.22 (0.14) (0.14) 6.30
Q4 2017 573.22 0.02 0.02 6.22
Q1 2018 573.22 (0.19) (0.19) 6.31
Q2 2018 573.22 (0.27) (0.27) 6.22
Q3 2018 573.22 (0.20) (0.20) 6.33
Q4 2018 573.22 0.58 0.58 7.00
Q1 2019 573.22 0.94 0.94 6.60
Q2 2019 573.22 1.23 1.23 6.75
Q3 2019 573.22 1.36 1.36 6.92

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2010 NEG NEG 4.16
Q2 2010 NEG NEG 3.92
Q3 2010 NEG NEG 4.08
Q4 2010 NEG NEG 4.30
Q1 2011 NEG NEG 4.16
Q2 2011 NEG NEG 4.51
Q3 2011 NEG NEG 4.47
Q4 2011 NEG NEG 4.39
Q1 2012 NEG NEG 9.41
Q2 2012 NEG NEG 7.52
Q3 2012 NEG NEG 1.95
Q4 2012 NEG NEG 1.58
Q1 2013 NEG NEG 1.71
Q2 2013 NEG NEG 2.18
Q3 2013 NEG NEG 2.22
Q4 2013 NEG NEG 2.33
Q1 2014 NEG NEG 2.73
Q2 2014 NEG NEG 2.76
Q3 2014 NEG NEG 3.12
Q4 2014 NEG NEG 2.00
Q1 2015 NEG NEG 1.90
Q2 2015 NEG NEG 2.09
Q3 2015 NEG NEG 1.75
Q4 2015 NEG NEG 1.68
Q1 2016 NEG NEG 1.87
Q2 2016 NEG NEG 1.82
Q3 2016 NEG NEG 1.67
Q4 2016 NEG NEG 2.13
Q1 2017 NEG NEG 2.25
Q2 2017 NEG NEG 2.34
Q3 2017 NEG NEG 2.22
Q4 2017 More than 100 More than 100 1.88
Q1 2018 NEG NEG 1.81
Q2 2018 NEG NEG 1.71
Q3 2018 NEG NEG 1.57
Q4 2018 22.77 22.77 1.89
Q1 2019 18.68 18.68 2.66
Q2 2019 16.19 16.19 2.96
Q3 2019 14.07 14.07 2.76

Business Segments (Million)

Compared With The
Period Mobile Telecommunications Company Zain Sales Zain Payments Eliminations
Q1 2018 1,685.97 - - -
Q2 2018 1,846.43 - - -
Q3 2018 1,951.89 - - -
Q4 2018 2,046.24 - - -
Q1 2019 2,016.32 679.91 - (602.74)
Q2 2019 1,978.29 670.22 - (591.75)
Q3 2019 1,923.51 682.16 - (597.59)

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q3 2019 (e) Q3 2019 (a) Change‬
Average 147.50 120.71 (18.2 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q3 2019 (e) Q3 2019 (a) Change
SNB Capital 137.00 120.71 (11.9) %
OSOOL AND BAKHEET 140.00 120.71 (13.8) %
Riyad Capital 156.00 120.71 (22.6) %
AlJazira Capital 157.00 120.71 (23.1) %


Financial Ratios
Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 9,364.77
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 16,691.90
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 898.73
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 0.30
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 11.62
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) Neg
P/E (TTM) 34.95
Price/book 0.90
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 1.0
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 2.6
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Share Price

Mobile Telecommunication Company Saudi Arabia
10.42
(0.02) (0.19 %)

Mobile Telecommunication Company Saudi Arabia (ZAIN KSA)

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