Petrochem’s FY16 net profit falls 56%

Petrochem’s FY16 net profit falls 56%

19/01/2017 Argaam Exclusive

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National Petrochemical Co. (Petrochem) reported a net profit of SAR 395 million for fiscal year 2016, a year-on-year (YoY) fall of 56.5 percent on lower sales volumes, cheaper, average selling prices, as well as higher financing charges. The company also cited a planned maintenance that lasted from Oct. 1 to Nov. 29.



Financials (M)

Item 2015 2016 Change‬
Revenues 7,304.17 6,066.51 (16.9 %)
Gross Income 2,481.77 1,608.99 (35.2 %)
Operating Income 1,762.58 1,015.82 (42.4 %)
Net Income 906.89 397.37 (56.2 %)
Average Shares 480.00 480.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 1.89 0.83 (56.2 %)

In Q4, Petrochem swung to a loss of SAR 127 million, compared to net profit of SAR 178.3 million in the same period of 2015 due to a 60-day maintenance of Petrochem’s 65 percent-owned polymer unit that started in October.    



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q4 2015 Q4 2016 Change‬
Revenues 1,654.69 1,163.33 (29.7 %)
Gross Income 546.25 51.92 (90.5 %)
Operating Income 372.54 (90.43) (124.3 %)
Net Income 178.30 (123.68) (169.4 %)
Average Shares 480.00 480.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.37 (0.26) (169.4 %)


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2007 - - - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - - - -
Q1 2008 - - - - - -
Q2 2008 - - - - (0.86) -
Q3 2008 - - - - (0.26) -
Q4 2008 - - - - (0.73) -
Q1 2009 - - - - (0.66) -
Q2 2009 - - - - (1.10) (28.1 %)
Q3 2009 - - - - (2.13) (736.9 %)
Q4 2009 - - - - (7.12) (877.3 %)
Q1 2010 - - - - (3.35) (403.8 %)
Q2 2010 - - - - (2.33) (111.0 %)
Q3 2010 - - - - (1.93) 9.4 %
Q4 2010 - - - - (6.60) 7.2 %
Q1 2011 - - - - (4.21) (25.7 %)
Q2 2011 - - - - (6.79) (191.8 %)
Q3 2011 - - - - (5.39) (178.7 %)
Q4 2011 - - - - (30.75) (365.7 %)
Q1 2012 - - - - (22.64) (438.2 %)
Q2 2012 - - - - (41.82) (516.3 %)
Q3 2012 - - - - (32.71) (506.9 %)
Q4 2012 857.88 - (478.86) - (585.13) (1,803.0 %)
Q1 2013 689.10 - 172.39 - 61.30 370.8 %
Q2 2013 1,144.23 - 222.85 - 83.47 299.6 %
Q3 2013 1,117.37 - (38.76) - (170.86) (422.3 %)
Q4 2013 1,485.98 73.2 % 370.03 177.3 % 191.52 132.7 %
Q1 2014 1,709.95 148.1 % 456.16 164.6 % 280.85 358.1 %
Q2 2014 1,965.81 71.8 % 560.99 151.7 % 365.21 337.5 %
Q3 2014 1,952.47 74.7 % 668.53 1824.8 % 453.22 365.3 %
Q4 2014 2,230.28 50.1 % 613.39 65.8 % 406.50 112.3 %
Q1 2015 1,770.75 3.6 % 439.57 (3.6 %) 233.11 (17.0 %)
Q2 2015 1,967.02 0.1 % 738.14 31.6 % 565.00 54.7 %
Q3 2015 1,911.70 (2.1 %) 757.82 13.4 % 591.93 30.6 %
Q4 2015 1,654.69 (25.8 %) 546.25 (10.9 %) 372.54 (8.4 %)
Q1 2016 1,659.96 (6.3 %) 425.14 (3.3 %) 279.83 20.0 %
Q2 2016 1,642.22 (16.5 %) 573.53 (22.3 %) 423.76 (25.0 %)
Q3 2016 1,601.00 (16.3 %) 558.40 (26.3 %) 402.66 (32.0 %)
Q4 2016 1,163.33 (29.7 %) 51.92 (90.5 %) (90.43) (124.3 %)
2016 6,066.51 (16.9 %) 1,608.99 (35.2 %) 1,015.82 (42.4 %)


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2007 - - - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - - - -
Q1 2008 - - - - - -
Q2 2008 4.13 - 0.01 (16.00) 20.12 0.04
Q3 2008 5.40 - 0.01 (6.00) 11.40 0.02
Q4 2008 8.27 - 0.02 (2.77) 11.03 0.02
Q1 2009 (7.87) - (0.02) - (7.87) (0.02)
Q2 2009 (12.36) (399.3 %) (0.03) - (12.36) (0.03)
Q3 2009 (19.21) (455.5 %) (0.04) (5.55) (13.66) (0.03)
Q4 2009 (21.15) (355.9 %) (0.04) (8.61) (12.55) (0.03)
Q1 2010 (42.94) (445.6 %) (0.09) - (42.94) (0.09)
Q2 2010 (37.62) (204.3 %) (0.08) - (37.62) (0.08)
Q3 2010 (3.45) 82.0 % (0.01) - (3.45) (0.01)
Q4 2010 41.38 295.6 % 0.09 - 41.38 0.09
Q1 2011 (10.52) 75.5 % (0.02) - (10.52) (0.02)
Q2 2011 (12.37) 67.1 % (0.03) - (12.37) (0.03)
Q3 2011 (12.59) (264.5 %) (0.03) - (12.59) (0.03)
Q4 2011 (28.63) (169.2 %) (0.06) - (28.63) (0.06)
Q1 2012 (21.63) (105.6 %) (0.05) - (21.63) (0.05)
Q2 2012 (35.79) (189.4 %) (0.07) - (35.79) (0.07)
Q3 2012 (0.13) 99.0 % 0.00 - (0.13) 0.00
Q4 2012 (405.99) (1,318.2 %) (0.85) - (405.99) (0.85)
Q1 2013 (1.33) 93.8 % 0.00 - (1.33) 0.00
Q2 2013 10.84 130.3 % 0.02 - 10.84 0.02
Q3 2013 (150.21) (120,064.0 %) (0.31) - (150.21) (0.31)
Q4 2013 74.57 118.4 % 0.16 - 74.57 0.16
Q1 2014 141.02 10678.9 % 0.29 - 141.02 0.29
Q2 2014 197.03 1717.8 % 0.41 - 197.03 0.41
Q3 2014 244.19 262.6 % 0.51 - 244.19 0.51
Q4 2014 192.53 158.2 % 0.40 - 192.53 0.40
Q1 2015 101.84 (27.8 %) 0.21 - 101.84 0.21
Q2 2015 305.39 55.0 % 0.64 - 305.39 0.64
Q3 2015 321.10 31.5 % 0.67 - 321.10 0.67
Q4 2015 178.30 (7.4 %) 0.37 - 178.30 0.37
Q1 2016 121.43 19.2 % 0.25 - 121.43 0.25
Q2 2016 208.01 (31.9 %) 0.43 - 208.01 0.43
Q3 2016 191.61 (40.3 %) 0.40 - 191.61 0.40
Q4 2016 (123.68) (169.4 %) (0.26) - (123.68) (0.26)
2016 397.37 (56.2 %) 0.83 - 397.37 0.83

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2007 - - -
Q2 2007 - - -
Q3 2007 - - -
Q4 2007 - - -
Q1 2008 - - -
Q2 2008 - - -
Q3 2008 - - -
Q4 2008 - - -
Q1 2009 - - -
Q2 2009 - - -
Q3 2009 - - -
Q4 2009 - - -
Q1 2010 - - -
Q2 2010 - - -
Q3 2010 - - -
Q4 2010 - - -
Q1 2011 - - -
Q2 2011 - - -
Q3 2011 - - -
Q4 2011 - - -
Q1 2012 - - -
Q2 2012 - - -
Q3 2012 - - -
Q4 2012 (55.82 %) (56.03 %) (54.03 %)
Q1 2013 (19.81 %) (12.88 %) (28.65 %)
Q2 2013 (3.11 %) 5.55 % (14.74 %)
Q3 2013 (3.21 %) 5.64 % (14.35 %)
Q4 2013 16.38 % 22.19 % (1.49 %)
Q1 2014 18.51 % 22.23 % 1.40 %
Q2 2014 21.47 % 23.54 % 4.18 %
Q3 2014 28.90 % 29.39 % 9.23 %
Q4 2014 29.26 % 29.67 % 9.86 %
Q1 2015 28.82 % 28.79 % 9.29 %
Q2 2015 31.05 % 31.20 % 10.66 %
Q3 2015 32.35 % 33.43 % 11.69 %
Q4 2015 33.98 % 35.38 % 12.41 %
Q1 2016 34.30 % 36.58 % 12.88 %
Q2 2016 33.53 % 36.34 % 12.07 %
Q3 2016 32.07 % 35.00 % 10.66 %
Q4 2016 26.52 % 30.44 % 6.55 %
2016 26.52 % 30.44 % 6.55 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2007 - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - -
Q1 2008 - - - -
Q2 2008 480.00 - - 4.59
Q3 2008 480.00 - - 4.60
Q4 2008 480.00 - - 4.62
Q1 2009 480.00 0.02 0.07 4.60
Q2 2009 480.00 (0.01) 0.00 4.58
Q3 2009 480.00 (0.06) (0.05) 9.95
Q4 2009 480.00 (0.13) (0.10) 9.91
Q1 2010 480.00 (0.20) (0.17) 9.82
Q2 2010 480.00 (0.25) (0.22) 9.74
Q3 2010 480.00 (0.22) (0.20) 9.74
Q4 2010 480.00 (0.09) (0.09) 9.82
Q1 2011 480.00 (0.02) (0.02) 9.80
Q2 2011 480.00 0.03 0.03 9.77
Q3 2011 480.00 0.01 0.01 9.75
Q4 2011 480.00 (0.13) (0.13) 9.69
Q1 2012 480.00 (0.16) (0.16) 9.64
Q2 2012 480.00 (0.21) (0.21) 9.57
Q3 2012 480.00 (0.18) (0.18) 9.57
Q4 2012 480.00 (0.97) (0.97) 8.72
Q1 2013 480.00 (0.92) (0.92) 8.72
Q2 2013 480.00 (0.83) (0.83) 8.74
Q3 2013 480.00 (1.14) (1.14) 8.43
Q4 2013 480.00 (0.14) (0.14) 8.59
Q1 2014 480.00 0.16 0.16 8.88
Q2 2014 480.00 0.55 0.55 9.29
Q3 2014 480.00 1.37 1.37 9.80
Q4 2014 480.00 1.61 1.61 10.20
Q1 2015 480.00 1.53 1.53 10.41
Q2 2015 480.00 1.76 1.76 11.05
Q3 2015 480.00 1.92 1.92 11.72
Q4 2015 480.00 1.89 1.89 12.09
Q1 2016 480.00 1.93 1.93 12.27
Q2 2016 480.00 1.73 1.73 12.70
Q3 2016 480.00 1.46 1.46 13.10
Q4 2016 480.00 0.83 0.83 12.83

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2007 - - -
Q2 2007 - - -
Q3 2007 - - -
Q4 2007 - - -
Q1 2008 - - -
Q2 2008 - - -
Q3 2008 - - -
Q4 2008 - - -
Q1 2009 - - -
Q2 2009 - - -
Q3 2009 NEG NEG 1.53
Q4 2009 NEG NEG 1.57
Q1 2010 NEG NEG 1.55
Q2 2010 NEG NEG 1.53
Q3 2010 NEG NEG 1.82
Q4 2010 NEG NEG 2.29
Q1 2011 NEG NEG 2.46
Q2 2011 More than 100 More than 100 2.27
Q3 2011 More than 100 More than 100 2.30
Q4 2011 NEG NEG 2.12
Q1 2012 NEG NEG 2.70
Q2 2012 NEG NEG 2.08
Q3 2012 NEG NEG 2.29
Q4 2012 NEG NEG 2.29
Q1 2013 NEG NEG 2.33
Q2 2013 NEG NEG 2.60
Q3 2013 NEG NEG 2.49
Q4 2013 NEG NEG 2.98
Q1 2014 More than 100 More than 100 3.18
Q2 2014 59.70 59.70 3.51
Q3 2014 26.09 26.09 3.64
Q4 2014 13.57 13.57 2.15
Q1 2015 14.36 14.36 2.11
Q2 2015 14.21 14.21 2.26
Q3 2015 9.67 9.67 1.58
Q4 2015 8.84 8.84 1.38
Q1 2016 8.60 8.60 1.35
Q2 2016 9.82 9.82 1.33
Q3 2016 10.00 10.00 1.11
Q4 2016 25.66 25.66 1.66

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q4 2016 (e) Q4 2016 (a) Change‬
Average (75.56) (123.68) (63.7 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q4 2016 (e) Q4 2016 (a) Change
OSOOL AND BAKHEET (99.80) (123.68) (23.9) %
AlJazira Capital (95.00) (123.68) (30.2) %
SNB Capital (93.00) (123.68) (33.0) %
Riyad Capital (58.00) (123.68) (113.2) %
Sico (32.00) (123.68) (286.5) %


Financial Ratios
Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 21,816.00
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) -
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 480.00
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 2.85
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 19.02
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) 15.96
P/E (TTM) 15.96
Price/book 2.39
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 15.3
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 15.9
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Share Price

National Petrochemical Co.
45.45
(0.60) (1.30 %)

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