Yansab swings to SAR 485.1M loss in 2023; Q4 profit at SAR 18.5M

Yansab swings to SAR 485.1M loss in 2023; Q4 profit at SAR 18.5M

19/02/2024 Argaam Exclusive

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Yanbu National Petrochemical Co. (Yansab), which is 51% owned by SABIC, recorded a net loss of SAR 485.1 million in 2023, versus a profit of SAR 414.1 million a year earlier.



Financials (M)

Item 2022 2023 Change‬
Revenues 7,024.05 4,532.73 (35.5 %)
Gross Income 970.42 (53.37) (105.5 %)
Operating Income 442.45 (494.86) (211.8 %)
Net Income 414.15 (485.14) (217.1 %)
Average Shares 562.50 562.50 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.74 (0.86) (217.1 %)

The company reported a decline in revenues due to the lower average selling prices of all products compared to the previous year. In addition, production and sales volumes declined. This was offset by a decrease in some production input costs.

 

Yansab announced a temporary shutdown for plants that started on Aug. 14, 2023, due to a technical issue. It added that the financial impact is estimated at SAR 150 million, predicting it to appear in Q3 and Q4 2023.  



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q4 2022 Q4 2023 Change‬
Revenues 1,385.22 1,444.97 4.3 %
Gross Income 56.44 138.11 144.7 %
Operating Income (95.48) 23.62 124.7 %
Net Income (96.43) 18.46 119.1 %
Average Shares 562.50 562.50 -
EPS (Riyals) (0.17) 0.03 119.1 %

The petrochemical producer reported a net profit of SAR 18.5 million in Q4 2023 against a loss of SAR 96.45 million in the year-ago period, as production levels stabilized in the fourth quarter leading to an increase in sales volume.

 

Yansab posted a loss of SAR 161.32 million in Q3 2023.

 

Shareholders’ equity, no minority interest, fell to SAR 11.9 billion as of Dec. 31, 2023, from SAR 14.05 billion a year earlier.

 

Attached Documents

 



Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Net Income Change EPS(Riyal)
Q1 2014 2,317.89 6.9 % 708.29 (11.5 %) 555.68 (16.7 %) 0.99
Q2 2014 2,409.31 8.9 % 760.78 (5.7 %) 613.03 (8.6 %) 1.09
Q3 2014 2,493.73 (13.7 %) 844.76 (17.8 %) 691.28 (20.1 %) 1.23
Q4 2014 2,290.10 9.9 % 773.20 31.1 % 617.75 39.7 % 1.10
Q1 2015 1,716.78 (25.9 %) 412.75 (41.7 %) 285.14 (48.7 %) 0.51
Q2 2015 1,563.32 (35.1 %) 373.04 (51.0 %) 227.40 (62.9 %) 0.40
Q3 2015 1,800.27 (27.8 %) 434.61 (48.6 %) 301.72 (56.4 %) 0.54
Q4 2015 1,831.05 (20.0 %) 537.20 (30.5 %) 393.06 (36.4 %) 0.70
Q1 2016 1,346.43 (21.6 %) 607.27 47.1 % 421.74 47.9 % 0.75
Q2 2016 1,722.34 10.2 % 852.67 128.6 % 747.34 228.6 % 1.33
Q3 2016 1,516.80 (15.7 %) 688.73 58.5 % 568.28 88.3 % 1.01
Q4 2016 1,645.07 (10.2 %) 732.63 36.4 % 607.00 54.4 % 1.08
Q1 2017 1,758.51 30.6 % 728.26 19.9 % 608.16 44.2 % 1.08
Q2 2017 1,362.12 (20.9 %) 465.16 (45.4 %) 345.72 (53.7 %) 0.61
Q3 2017 1,933.44 27.5 % 780.33 13.3 % 644.59 13.4 % 1.15
Q4 2017 2,166.85 31.7 % 896.55 22.4 % 777.90 28.2 % 1.38
Q1 2018 1,787.21 1.6 % 739.84 1.6 % 630.59 3.7 % 1.12
Q2 2018 2,111.47 55.0 % 937.57 101.6 % 820.89 137.4 % 1.46
Q3 2018 2,110.43 9.2 % 839.25 7.5 % 729.02 13.1 % 1.30
Q4 2018 1,619.36 (25.3 %) 348.78 (61.1 %) 233.48 (70.0 %) 0.42
Q1 2019 1,522.05 (14.8 %) 472.49 (36.1 %) 390.64 (38.1 %) 0.69
Q2 2019 1,637.96 (22.4 %) 431.61 (54.0 %) 316.13 (61.5 %) 0.56
Q3 2019 1,422.74 (32.6 %) 296.05 (64.7 %) 212.06 (70.9 %) 0.38
Q4 2019 1,482.08 (8.5 %) 298.12 (14.5 %) 170.95 (26.8 %) 0.30
Q1 2020 1,194.98 (21.5 %) 199.26 (57.8 %) 104.46 (73.3 %) 0.19
Q2 2020 1,020.66 (37.7 %) 137.12 (68.2 %) 44.83 (85.8 %) 0.08
Q3 2020 1,440.73 1.3 % 277.21 (6.4 %) 195.63 (7.7 %) 0.35
Q4 2020 1,378.58 (7.0 %) 475.13 59.4 % 332.65 94.6 % 0.59
Q1 2021 1,723.01 44.2 % 595.01 198.6 % 420.29 302.3 % 0.75
Q2 2021 1,983.00 94.3 % 772.06 463.0 % 596.37 1230.4 % 1.06
Q3 2021 1,779.61 23.5 % 343.61 24.0 % 179.78 (8.1 %) 0.32
Q4 2021 1,922.11 39.4 % 507.13 6.7 % 334.86 0.7 % 0.60
Q1 2022 1,979.41 14.9 % 437.30 (26.5 %) 283.03 (32.7 %) 0.50
Q2 2022 2,068.87 4.3 % 407.10 (47.3 %) 288.50 (51.6 %) 0.51
Q3 2022 1,590.54 (10.6 %) 69.59 (79.7 %) (60.96) (133.9 %) (0.11)
Q4 2022 1,385.22 (27.9 %) 56.44 (88.9 %) (96.43) (128.8 %) (0.17)
Q1 2023 667.01 (66.3 %) (239.63) (154.8 %) (369.72) (230.6 %) (0.66)
Q2 2023 1,322.88 (36.1 %) 92.18 (77.4 %) 27.44 (90.5 %) 0.05
Q3 2023 1,097.87 (31.0 %) (44.02) (163.3 %) (161.32) (164.7 %) (0.29)
Q4 2023 1,444.97 4.3 % 138.11 144.7 % 18.46 119.1 % 0.03
2023 4,532.73 (35.5 %) (53.37) (105.5 %) (485.14) (217.1 %) (0.86)

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2014 32.97 % 42.38 % 26.66 %
Q2 2014 31.82 % 41.45 % 25.52 %
Q3 2014 31.20 % 41.94 % 24.74 %
Q4 2014 32.46 % 43.45 % 26.05 %
Q1 2015 31.33 % 42.95 % 24.77 %
Q2 2015 29.81 % 42.15 % 22.59 %
Q3 2015 27.05 % 39.84 % 19.44 %
Q4 2015 25.43 % 38.49 % 17.54 %
Q1 2016 29.84 % 42.19 % 20.62 %
Q2 2016 36.29 % 47.23 % 27.89 %
Q3 2016 41.86 % 52.93 % 33.27 %
Q4 2016 46.24 % 56.31 % 37.63 %
Q1 2017 45.20 % 54.64 % 38.10 %
Q2 2017 41.62 % 51.91 % 33.89 %
Q3 2017 40.40 % 49.45 % 32.92 %
Q4 2017 39.75 % 48.52 % 32.91 %
Q1 2018 39.75 % 48.53 % 33.09 %
Q2 2018 41.93 % 49.73 % 35.93 %
Q3 2018 41.75 % 49.37 % 36.18 %
Q4 2018 37.56 % 45.25 % 31.64 %
Q1 2019 35.28 % 43.52 % 29.53 %
Q2 2019 30.37 % 42.48 % 24.23 %
Q3 2019 24.97 % 38.92 % 18.58 %
Q4 2019 24.70 % 38.51 % 17.97 %
Q1 2020 21.35 % 36.17 % 14.01 %
Q2 2020 18.17 % 31.43 % 10.40 %
Q3 2020 17.74 % 31.59 % 10.04 %
Q4 2020 21.62 % 37.76 % 13.50 %
Q1 2021 26.68 % 41.11 % 19.04 %
Q2 2021 32.48 % 45.21 % 24.68 %
Q3 2021 31.84 % 43.79 % 23.62 %
Q4 2021 29.94 % 40.31 % 22.18 %
Q1 2022 26.88 % 36.54 % 18.68 %
Q2 2022 21.87 % 30.50 % 14.54 %
Q3 2022 18.80 % 27.31 % 11.37 %
Q4 2022 13.82 % 22.83 % 5.89 %
Q1 2023 5.14 % 16.37 % (3.99 %)
Q2 2023 (0.43 %) 13.49 % (9.91 %)
Q3 2023 (3.02 %) 12.86 % (13.25 %)
Q4 2023 (1.18 %) 15.45 % (10.70 %)
2023 (1.18 %) 15.45 % (10.70 %)


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2014 562.50 4.50 4.50 25.73
Q2 2014 562.50 4.40 4.40 25.32
Q3 2014 562.50 4.09 4.09 26.55
Q4 2014 562.50 4.40 4.40 27.65
Q1 2015 562.50 3.92 3.92 26.65
Q2 2015 562.50 3.24 3.24 26.06
Q3 2015 562.50 2.55 2.55 26.59
Q4 2015 562.50 2.15 2.16 27.29
Q1 2016 562.50 2.39 2.40 27.00
Q2 2016 562.50 3.31 3.32 26.73
Q3 2016 562.50 3.79 3.79 27.81
Q4 2016 562.50 4.17 4.17 28.54
Q1 2017 562.50 4.50 4.50 28.12
Q2 2017 562.50 3.79 3.79 27.24
Q3 2017 562.50 3.92 3.92 28.37
Q4 2017 562.50 4.22 4.22 29.76
Q1 2018 562.50 4.26 4.26 30.91
Q2 2018 562.50 5.11 5.11 28.87
Q3 2018 562.50 5.26 5.26 30.17
Q4 2018 562.50 4.29 4.29 30.68
Q1 2019 562.50 3.86 3.86 31.34
Q2 2019 562.50 2.97 2.97 28.12
Q3 2019 562.50 2.05 2.05 28.38
Q4 2019 562.50 1.94 1.94 28.70
Q1 2020 562.50 1.43 1.43 27.13
Q2 2020 562.50 0.95 0.95 25.92
Q3 2020 562.50 0.92 0.92 26.23
Q4 2020 562.50 1.20 1.21 26.64
Q1 2021 562.50 1.77 1.88 26.30
Q2 2021 562.50 2.75 2.86 25.75
Q3 2021 562.50 2.72 2.88 26.05
Q4 2021 562.50 2.72 2.92 26.74
Q1 2022 562.50 2.48 2.54 25.92
Q2 2022 562.50 1.93 2.00 25.16
Q3 2022 562.50 1.50 1.53 25.26
Q4 2022 562.50 0.74 0.74 24.98
Q1 2023 562.50 (0.42) (0.40) 23.04
Q2 2023 562.50 (0.89) (0.88) 22.12
Q3 2023 562.50 (1.07) (1.05) 21.95
Q4 2023 562.50 (0.86) (0.86) 21.16

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2014 15.71 15.71 2.75
Q2 2014 16.11 16.11 2.80
Q3 2014 17.59 17.59 2.71
Q4 2014 10.82 10.82 1.72
Q1 2015 10.76 10.76 1.58
Q2 2015 16.75 16.75 2.08
Q3 2015 16.92 16.91 1.62
Q4 2015 15.10 15.04 1.19
Q1 2016 16.32 16.26 1.44
Q2 2016 12.65 12.61 1.57
Q3 2016 11.41 11.39 1.55
Q4 2016 12.97 12.97 1.89
Q1 2017 12.72 12.72 2.04
Q2 2017 14.74 14.74 2.05
Q3 2017 15.13 15.13 2.09
Q4 2017 13.93 13.93 1.98
Q1 2018 17.13 17.13 2.36
Q2 2018 14.58 14.58 2.58
Q3 2018 13.48 13.48 2.35
Q4 2018 14.87 14.87 2.08
Q1 2019 19.22 19.22 2.37
Q2 2019 21.47 21.47 2.26
Q3 2019 26.12 26.12 1.88
Q4 2019 28.85 28.85 1.95
Q1 2020 29.12 29.12 1.53
Q2 2020 54.11 54.11 1.98
Q3 2020 64.01 64.01 2.24
Q4 2020 53.05 52.88 2.40
Q1 2021 39.18 36.75 2.63
Q2 2021 26.43 25.36 2.82
Q3 2021 26.19 24.70 2.73
Q4 2021 25.24 23.52 2.57
Q1 2022 26.99 26.29 2.58
Q2 2022 26.15 25.20 2.01
Q3 2022 30.81 30.29 1.83
Q4 2022 56.50 56.51 1.67
Q1 2023 NEG NEG 1.83
Q2 2023 NEG NEG 2.14
Q3 2023 NEG NEG 1.89
Q4 2023 NEG NEG 1.80

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q4 2023 (e) Q4 2023 (a) Change‬
Average 17.78 18.46 3.86 %

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q4 2023 (e) Q4 2023 (a) Change
Goldman Sachs 39.40 18.46 (53.1) %
ALEMBIC 129.40 18.46 (85.7) %
Sico 176.00 18.46 (89.5) %
Bank of America 256.86 18.46 (92.8) %
JP Morgan (122.00) 18.46 115.1 %
Hermes (85.00) 18.46 121.7 %
Riyad Capital (55.00) 18.46 133.6 %
SNB Capital (54.20) 18.46 134.1 %
AlJazira Capital (26.80) 18.46 168.9 %
Value Capital (26.62) 18.46 169.4 %
U-Capital (21.70) 18.46 185.1 %
Al Rajhi Capital 3.00 18.46 515.5 %

Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 21,121.88
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 18,783.35
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 562.50
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) (0.03)
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 21.39
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) Neg
P/E (TTM) NEG
Price/book 1.76
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) (0.11 )
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) (0.13 )

Share Price

Yanbu National Petrochemical Co. (YANSAB)


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