Southern Cement’s FY17 profit drops 58% on low demand

Southern Cement’s FY17 profit drops 58% on low demand

13/03/2018 Argaam Exclusive

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Southern Province Cement Co. reported a net profit of SAR 372 million for the fiscal year 2017, a fall of 57.5 percent year-on-year (YoY), due to weak demand and lower selling prices amid fierce competition.



Financials (M)

Item 2016 2017 Change‬
Revenues 1,776.06 1,063.82 (40.1 %)
Gross Income 930.70 423.70 (54.5 %)
Operating Income 871.06 373.22 (57.2 %)
Net Income 877.51 370.22 (57.8 %)
Average Shares 140.00 140.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 6.27 2.64 (57.8 %)

The fourth-quarter net profit also dropped 23.8 percent YoY to SAR 115 million, hurt by weak demand and increased competition.

 

When compared to the previous quarter, the cement producer’s net profit more than doubled, thanks to higher sales volumes and value along with a decline in the cost of sales.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q4 2016 Q4 2017 Change‬
Revenues 354.32 302.08 (14.7 %)
Gross Income 177.55 136.59 (23.1 %)
Operating Income 152.62 122.12 (20.0 %)
Net Income 152.77 113.56 (25.7 %)
Average Shares 140.00 140.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 1.09 0.81 (25.7 %)


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2008 376.54 38.3 % 242.78 47.6 % 236.11 51.8 %
Q2 2008 376.55 24.1 % 227.67 19.3 % 219.21 19.1 %
Q3 2008 288.56 (7.2 %) 163.16 (20.8 %) 154.45 (23.1 %)
Q4 2008 256.26 (4.5 %) 123.10 (23.2 %) 111.16 (26.3 %)
Q1 2009 362.12 (3.8 %) 213.85 (11.9 %) 204.33 (13.5 %)
Q2 2009 361.61 (4.0 %) 215.32 (5.4 %) 207.45 (5.4 %)
Q3 2009 289.73 0.4 % 155.02 (5.0 %) 146.33 (5.3 %)
Q4 2009 304.92 19.0 % 182.92 48.6 % 174.67 57.1 %
Q1 2010 353.22 (2.5 %) 205.63 (3.8 %) 193.97 (5.1 %)
Q2 2010 358.99 (0.7 %) 191.61 (11.0 %) 183.06 (11.8 %)
Q3 2010 276.99 (4.4 %) 132.67 (14.4 %) 123.74 (15.4 %)
Q4 2010 319.92 4.9 % 179.63 (1.8 %) 170.60 (2.3 %)
Q1 2011 436.85 23.7 % 241.21 17.3 % 229.72 18.4 %
Q2 2011 444.37 23.8 % 251.72 31.4 % 239.32 30.7 %
Q3 2011 355.11 28.2 % 197.22 48.6 % 184.88 49.4 %
Q4 2011 454.74 42.1 % 266.85 48.6 % 254.38 49.1 %
Q1 2012 497.81 14.0 % 300.74 24.7 % 288.08 25.4 %
Q2 2012 474.15 6.7 % 269.36 7.0 % 261.23 9.2 %
Q3 2012 354.18 (0.3 %) 205.74 4.3 % 197.32 6.7 %
Q4 2012 479.13 5.4 % 275.07 3.1 % 261.33 2.7 %
Q1 2013 486.72 (2.2 %) 283.22 (5.8 %) 272.86 (5.3 %)
Q2 2013 508.93 7.3 % 308.04 14.4 % 295.22 13.0 %
Q3 2013 368.15 3.9 % 200.86 (2.4 %) 188.27 (4.6 %)
Q4 2013 411.34 (14.1 %) 220.73 (19.8 %) 216.98 (17.0 %)
Q1 2014 495.41 1.8 % 239.68 (15.4 %) 225.44 (17.4 %)
Q2 2014 516.76 1.5 % 304.39 (1.2 %) 296.01 0.3 %
Q3 2014 377.67 2.6 % 186.58 (7.1 %) 175.11 (7.0 %)
Q4 2014 488.51 18.8 % 264.49 19.8 % 251.88 16.1 %
Q1 2015 558.97 12.8 % 290.50 21.2 % 271.23 20.3 %
Q2 2015 531.85 2.9 % 281.81 (7.4 %) 271.54 (8.3 %)
Q3 2015 418.90 10.9 % 215.84 15.7 % 205.10 17.1 %
Q4 2015 537.56 10.0 % 321.20 21.4 % 311.47 23.7 %
Q1 2016 549.33 (1.7 %) 302.56 4.2 % 287.23 5.9 %
Q2 2016 492.64 (7.4 %) 266.67 (5.4 %) 256.18 (5.7 %)
Q3 2016 379.76 (9.3 %) 183.92 (14.8 %) 175.02 (14.7 %)
Q4 2016 354.32 (34.1 %) 177.55 (44.7 %) 152.62 (51.0 %)
Q1 2017 303.39 (44.8 %) 122.13 (59.6 %) 105.36 (63.3 %)
Q2 2017 242.75 (50.7 %) 99.96 (62.5 %) 87.78 (65.7 %)
Q3 2017 215.60 (43.2 %) 65.02 (64.6 %) 56.80 (67.5 %)
Q4 2017 302.08 (14.7 %) 136.59 (23.1 %) 122.12 (20.0 %)
2017 1,063.82 (40.1 %) 423.70 (54.5 %) 373.22 (57.2 %)


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2008 234.64 47.7 % 1.68 - 234.64 1.68
Q2 2008 230.49 19.7 % 1.65 - 230.49 1.65
Q3 2008 149.40 (24.4 %) 1.07 - 149.40 1.07
Q4 2008 176.54 14.0 % 1.26 - 176.54 1.26
Q1 2009 200.17 (14.7 %) 1.43 - 200.17 1.43
Q2 2009 212.15 (8.0 %) 1.52 - 212.15 1.52
Q3 2009 140.56 (5.9 %) 1.00 - 140.56 1.00
Q4 2009 180.71 2.4 % 1.29 - 180.71 1.29
Q1 2010 189.63 (5.3 %) 1.35 - 189.63 1.35
Q2 2010 185.18 (12.7 %) 1.32 - 185.18 1.32
Q3 2010 118.90 (15.4 %) 0.85 - 118.90 0.85
Q4 2010 164.80 (8.8 %) 1.18 - 164.80 1.18
Q1 2011 225.88 19.1 % 1.61 - 225.88 1.61
Q2 2011 239.08 29.1 % 1.71 - 239.08 1.71
Q3 2011 179.78 51.2 % 1.28 - 179.78 1.28
Q4 2011 251.00 52.3 % 1.79 - 251.00 1.79
Q1 2012 284.33 25.9 % 2.03 - 284.33 2.03
Q2 2012 261.73 9.5 % 1.87 - 261.73 1.87
Q3 2012 200.39 11.5 % 1.43 - 200.39 1.43
Q4 2012 253.76 1.1 % 1.81 - 253.76 1.81
Q1 2013 268.75 (5.5 %) 1.92 - 268.75 1.92
Q2 2013 297.21 13.6 % 2.12 - 297.21 2.12
Q3 2013 186.61 (6.9 %) 1.33 - 186.61 1.33
Q4 2013 253.52 (0.1 %) 1.81 40.70 212.82 1.52
Q1 2014 221.01 (17.8 %) 1.58 - 221.01 1.58
Q2 2014 294.20 (1.0 %) 2.10 - 294.20 2.10
Q3 2014 284.92 52.7 % 2.04 112.50 172.42 1.23
Q4 2014 245.30 (3.2 %) 1.75 - 245.30 1.75
Q1 2015 266.00 20.4 % 1.90 - 266.00 1.90
Q2 2015 270.35 (8.1 %) 1.93 - 270.35 1.93
Q3 2015 202.21 (29.0 %) 1.44 - 202.21 1.44
Q4 2015 300.05 22.3 % 2.14 (6.30) 306.35 2.19
Q1 2016 283.20 6.5 % 2.02 - 283.20 2.02
Q2 2016 267.98 (0.9 %) 1.91 - 267.98 1.91
Q3 2016 173.56 (14.2 %) 1.24 - 173.56 1.24
Q4 2016 152.77 (49.1 %) 1.09 - 152.77 1.09
Q1 2017 104.57 (63.1 %) 0.75 - 104.57 0.75
Q2 2017 94.94 (64.6 %) 0.68 - 94.94 0.68
Q3 2017 57.16 (67.1 %) 0.41 - 57.16 0.41
Q4 2017 113.56 (25.7 %) 0.81 - 113.56 0.81
2017 370.22 (57.8 %) 2.64 - 370.22 2.64

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2008 63.52 % 69.96 % 61.91 %
Q2 2008 62.80 % 69.76 % 61.36 %
Q3 2008 60.60 % 68.19 % 58.73 %
Q4 2008 58.30 % 66.56 % 60.95 %
Q1 2009 56.70 % 63.26 % 58.95 %
Q2 2009 56.40 % 63.11 % 58.20 %
Q3 2009 55.71 % 62.71 % 57.45 %
Q4 2009 58.19 % 65.18 % 55.64 %
Q1 2010 57.95 % 64.98 % 55.22 %
Q2 2010 56.26 % 63.50 % 53.26 %
Q3 2010 55.08 % 62.54 % 52.11 %
Q4 2010 54.20 % 61.48 % 50.30 %
Q1 2011 53.50 % 60.47 % 49.88 %
Q2 2011 54.48 % 60.78 % 50.65 %
Q3 2011 55.89 % 61.76 % 52.02 %
Q4 2011 56.59 % 61.87 % 52.97 %
Q1 2012 58.02 % 63.18 % 54.46 %
Q2 2012 58.04 % 63.75 % 54.82 %
Q3 2012 58.55 % 64.52 % 56.01 %
Q4 2012 58.21 % 63.56 % 55.40 %
Q1 2013 57.60 % 63.07 % 54.88 %
Q2 2013 58.62 % 63.43 % 55.78 %
Q3 2013 57.91 % 63.39 % 54.60 %
Q4 2013 57.06 % 62.96 % 54.38 %
Q1 2014 54.34 % 60.22 % 51.44 %
Q2 2014 53.90 % 60.32 % 51.05 %
Q3 2014 52.82 % 58.65 % 49.99 %
Q4 2014 52.98 % 59.17 % 49.67 %
Q1 2015 53.86 % 59.73 % 50.36 %
Q2 2015 52.29 % 58.10 % 48.75 %
Q3 2015 52.68 % 58.47 % 49.24 %
Q4 2015 54.19 % 60.01 % 51.04 %
Q1 2016 55.04 % 60.98 % 52.12 %
Q2 2016 55.36 % 61.33 % 53.03 %
Q3 2016 54.83 % 62.04 % 52.63 %
Q4 2016 52.40 % 60.56 % 49.41 %
Q1 2017 49.03 % 58.65 % 45.67 %
Q2 2017 45.58 % 57.62 % 41.07 %
Q3 2017 41.63 % 54.16 % 36.69 %
Q4 2017 39.83 % 52.53 % 34.80 %
2017 39.83 % 52.64 % 34.80 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2008 140.00 5.57 5.57 15.92
Q2 2008 140.00 5.84 5.84 17.57
Q3 2008 140.00 5.50 5.50 15.64
Q4 2008 140.00 5.65 5.65 16.85
Q1 2009 140.00 5.40 5.40 16.28
Q2 2009 140.00 5.27 5.27 17.80
Q3 2009 140.00 5.21 5.21 16.30
Q4 2009 140.00 5.24 5.24 17.58
Q1 2010 140.00 5.16 5.16 16.44
Q2 2010 140.00 4.97 4.97 17.76
Q3 2010 140.00 4.82 4.82 16.61
Q4 2010 140.00 4.70 4.70 17.77
Q1 2011 140.00 4.96 4.96 16.88
Q2 2011 140.00 5.35 5.35 18.59
Q3 2011 140.00 5.78 5.78 17.13
Q4 2011 140.00 6.40 6.40 18.91
Q1 2012 140.00 6.82 6.82 17.44
Q2 2012 140.00 6.98 6.98 19.31
Q3 2012 140.00 7.12 7.12 17.74
Q4 2012 140.00 7.14 7.14 19.55
Q1 2013 140.00 7.03 7.03 17.47
Q2 2013 140.00 7.29 7.29 19.60
Q3 2013 140.00 7.19 7.19 17.93
Q4 2013 140.00 7.19 6.90 19.73
Q1 2014 140.00 6.85 6.55 17.31
Q2 2014 140.00 6.82 6.53 19.41
Q3 2014 140.00 7.53 6.43 19.45
Q4 2014 140.00 7.47 6.66 21.15
Q1 2015 140.00 7.79 6.99 20.05
Q2 2015 140.00 7.62 6.81 21.98
Q3 2015 140.00 7.03 7.03 20.93
Q4 2015 140.00 7.42 7.46 23.06
Q1 2016 140.00 7.54 7.59 21.52
Q2 2016 140.00 7.52 7.57 23.49
Q3 2016 140.00 7.32 7.36 22.23
Q4 2016 140.00 6.27 6.27 23.25
Q1 2017 140.00 4.99 4.99 24.00
Q2 2017 140.00 3.76 3.76 22.43
Q3 2017 140.00 2.92 2.92 21.84
Q4 2017 140.00 2.64 2.64 22.66

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2008 13.11 13.11 4.58
Q2 2008 13.01 13.01 4.33
Q3 2008 12.10 12.10 4.25
Q4 2008 8.25 8.25 2.76
Q1 2009 10.69 10.69 3.55
Q2 2009 11.66 11.66 3.46
Q3 2009 12.38 12.38 3.96
Q4 2009 12.79 12.79 3.81
Q1 2010 13.65 13.65 4.29
Q2 2010 13.68 13.68 3.83
Q3 2010 13.91 13.91 4.03
Q4 2010 13.02 13.02 3.45
Q1 2011 12.24 12.24 3.60
Q2 2011 14.31 14.31 4.11
Q3 2011 12.67 12.67 4.28
Q4 2011 13.44 13.44 4.55
Q1 2012 13.50 13.50 5.27
Q2 2012 14.26 14.26 5.15
Q3 2012 13.86 13.86 5.57
Q4 2012 14.00 14.00 5.12
Q1 2013 14.29 14.29 5.75
Q2 2013 14.27 14.27 5.31
Q3 2013 14.85 14.85 5.95
Q4 2013 15.34 15.99 5.59
Q1 2014 16.32 17.05 6.46
Q2 2014 17.00 17.76 5.98
Q3 2014 15.11 17.68 5.85
Q4 2014 14.65 16.41 5.17
Q1 2015 12.21 13.62 4.74
Q2 2015 12.90 14.42 4.47
Q3 2015 11.03 11.03 3.70
Q4 2015 9.44 9.38 3.04
Q1 2016 9.68 9.62 3.39
Q2 2016 10.14 10.08 3.25
Q3 2016 8.71 8.66 2.87
Q4 2016 13.13 13.13 3.54
Q1 2017 12.56 12.56 2.61
Q2 2017 14.41 14.41 2.41
Q3 2017 17.08 17.08 2.29
Q4 2017 18.30 18.30 2.14

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q4 2017 (e) Q4 2017 (a) Change‬
Average 69.09 113.56 64.35 %

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q4 2017 (e) Q4 2017 (a) Change
Value Capital 78.80 113.56 44.1 %
Riyad Capital 72.00 113.56 57.7 %
SNB Capital 71.00 113.56 59.9 %
Sico 70.00 113.56 62.2 %
Alistithmar Capital 67.94 113.56 67.1 %
OSOOL AND BAKHEET 66.10 113.56 71.8 %
AlJazira Capital 65.90 113.56 72.3 %
Al Rajhi Capital 61.00 113.56 86.2 %


Financial Ratios
Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 4,634.00
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 4,843.68
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 140.00
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 1.57
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 23.36
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) 22.89
P/E (TTM) 21.13
Price/book 1.42
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 5.4
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 6.8
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Share Price

Southern Province Cement Co.
33.10
(0.25) (0.75 %)

Southern Province Cement Co. (SPCC)

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