Oil prices threaten Saudi petrochemicals: Riyad Capital

22/12/2014 Argaam

Riyad Capital reduced the target prices for shares of several petrochemical companies listed under its coverage.
 

The firm projected that tumbling oil prices will negatively impact petrochemical prices, as well as margins in the coming year.


Riyad Capital said it has concerns that petrochemical supplies will continue to exceed demand in 2016 and 2017 as many Ethylene projects begin to launch production in the United States.


The U.S.  announced that its Ethylene production will increase 20 percent by an additional 11.3 million tons in 2017, while China said it will raise its production by six million tons in 2016 and 2017.


Saudi Arabia-based Sadara— a joint venture between Saudi Aramco and The Dow Jones Chemical Company— will also start production in 2016 and raise production by 2.8 million tons.

SIPCHEM and SAHARA’s sales will grow based on the each company’s expansion plans, Riyad Capital said.


The firm also predicted that Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Company will be the worst hit as its net income is expected to turn into a loss in 2015 due to tumbling oil prices.

 

Riyad Capital recommendations

 

Recommendation

Previous target price

New target price

Company

hold

30

23

Petrochem

buy

151

112

SABIC

hold

177

156

SAFCO

buy

36

31

TASNEE

buy

40

32

Saudi Industrial Investment Group

buy

25

20

Sahara Petrochemical Company

buy

78

65

YANSAB

hold

35

28

Sipchem

hold

56

45

Advanced Petrochemical Company

hold

16

12

KAYAN

hold

28

23

Petro Rabigh

 

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