Banking sector Q3-2014’s profit 2% less than analysts’ estimates

21/10/2014 Argaam

Saudi listed banks reported a net profit of SAR 8200m for Q3-2014; 2% less than analysts’ estimates of SAR 8371m.
 

Four banks  showed a negative deviation from analysts’ estimates led by “Al-Jazira Bank” which deviated by 75% anf followed by “AlRajhi” at 12%, “Riyad Bank” and” Saudi Hollandi Bank” at 3% each. “Bank Al-Bilad” and “Banque Saudi Fransi” exceeded the estimates by 10% and 11% respectively.


The table below shows the comparison of banks results to the average analyst estimates for Q3 2014:
 

Saudi Banks Q3-2014 profits and analysts estimates

Deviation (%)

Estimates

Profits

Bank

(3%)

1148.0

1076.0

RIBL

(75%)

192.0

47.0

BJAZ

+5%

354.0

371.2

SIBC

(3%)

477.0

461.8

Saudi Hollandi

+10%

842.0

926.0

Saudi Fransi

+2%

1036.0

1059.0

SABB

+4%

721.0

747.9

Arab National

+5%

1223.0

1281.0

SAMBA

(12%)

1884.0

1662.0

Al Rajhi

+11%

215.0

237.1

Al Bilad

+3%

320.0

331.0

Alinma

(2%)

8371.0

8200

Total

 

5 financial companies issued their Q3’s profits estimates: NCB Capital and Alistithmar Capital covering 10 banks, while Bakheet covered (9 banks), KSB Capital Group (4 banks) and AlBilad Capital which covered (1 bank).
 

“Al-Jazira Bank” and “Bank Al-Bilad” results are far from research firms estimates where the nearest result of “Al-Jazira Bank” is 74% higher than the actual results and “Bank Al-Bilad” nearest result is 9% less than the actual results.


The table below shows banks nearest estimates for Q3 2014:
 

Comparison of actual profits to nearest estimates from experts

analysts

deviation

Nearest estimate

Bank

NCB Capital

+2%

1050

RIBL

Alistithmar Capital

(74%)

183

BJAZ

Bakheet

+3%

361

SIBC

NCB Capital

(3%)

476

Saudi Hollandi

NCB Capital

+5%

884

Saudi Fransi

Bakheet

+4%

1020

SABB

NCB Capital

+1%

741

Arab National

Bakheet

+2%

1250

SAMBA

NCB Capital

(7%)

1791

Al Rajhi

NCB Capital & Bakheet

+9%

217

Al Bilad

Bakheet

(1%)

334

Alinma

 

The results of Saudi banking sector during Q1-2014 met the average of analysts’ estimates while Q2-2014 results were 4% higher than analysts’ estimates.

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