Petrochem’s profit drops 28% in 9M 2016

20/10/2016 Argaam Exclusive

 

National Petrochemical Co. (Petrochem) reported a net profit of SAR 522 million for the first nine months of 2016, a 28 percent drop year-on-year (YoY), due to lower selling prices along with higher general and administrative expenses.



Financials (M)

Item 9m 2015 9m 2016 Change‬
Revenues 5,649.48 4,903.18 (13.2 %)
Gross Income 1,935.53 1,557.07 (19.6 %)
Operating Income 1,390.03 1,106.25 (20.4 %)
Net Income 728.33 521.05 (28.5 %)
Average Shares 480.00 480.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 1.52 1.09 (28.5 %)

The third-quarter net profit fell 40 percent YoY to SAR 191 million, due to higher financing charges. On a sequential basis, the net profit saw an 8.3 percent decline. 



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Change‬
Revenues 1,911.70 1,601.00 (16.3 %)
Gross Income 757.82 558.40 (26.3 %)
Operating Income 591.93 402.66 (32.0 %)
Net Income 321.10 191.61 (40.3 %)
Average Shares 480.00 480.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.67 0.40 (40.3 %)

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Share Price

National Petrochemical Co.
45.45
(0.60) (1.30 %)


Financial Ratios
Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 21,816.00
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) -
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 480.00
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 2.85
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 19.02
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) 15.96
P/E (TTM) 15.96
Price/book 2.39
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 15.3
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 15.9
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Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2007 - - - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - - - -
Q1 2008 - - - - - -
Q2 2008 - - - - (0.86) -
Q3 2008 - - - - (0.26) -
Q4 2008 - - - - (0.73) -
Q1 2009 - - - - (0.66) -
Q2 2009 - - - - (1.10) (28.1 %)
Q3 2009 - - - - (2.13) (736.9 %)
Q4 2009 - - - - (7.12) (877.3 %)
Q1 2010 - - - - (3.35) (403.8 %)
Q2 2010 - - - - (2.33) (111.0 %)
Q3 2010 - - - - (1.93) 9.4 %
Q4 2010 - - - - (6.60) 7.2 %
Q1 2011 - - - - (4.21) (25.7 %)
Q2 2011 - - - - (6.79) (191.8 %)
Q3 2011 - - - - (5.39) (178.7 %)
Q4 2011 - - - - (30.75) (365.7 %)
Q1 2012 - - - - (22.64) (438.2 %)
Q2 2012 - - - - (41.82) (516.3 %)
Q3 2012 - - - - (32.71) (506.9 %)
Q4 2012 857.88 - (478.86) - (585.13) (1,803.0 %)
Q1 2013 689.10 - 172.39 - 61.30 370.8 %
Q2 2013 1,144.23 - 222.85 - 83.47 299.6 %
Q3 2013 1,117.37 - (38.76) - (170.86) (422.3 %)
Q4 2013 1,485.98 73.2 % 370.03 177.3 % 191.52 132.7 %
Q1 2014 1,709.95 148.1 % 456.16 164.6 % 280.85 358.1 %
Q2 2014 1,965.81 71.8 % 560.99 151.7 % 365.21 337.5 %
Q3 2014 1,952.47 74.7 % 668.53 1824.8 % 453.22 365.3 %
Q4 2014 2,230.28 50.1 % 613.39 65.8 % 406.50 112.3 %
Q1 2015 1,770.75 3.6 % 439.57 (3.6 %) 233.11 (17.0 %)
Q2 2015 1,967.02 0.1 % 738.14 31.6 % 565.00 54.7 %
Q3 2015 1,911.70 (2.1 %) 757.82 13.4 % 591.93 30.6 %
Q4 2015 1,654.69 (25.8 %) 546.25 (10.9 %) 372.54 (8.4 %)
Q1 2016 1,659.96 (6.3 %) 425.14 (3.3 %) 279.83 20.0 %
Q2 2016 1,642.22 (16.5 %) 573.53 (22.3 %) 423.76 (25.0 %)
Q3 2016 1,601.00 (16.3 %) 558.40 (26.3 %) 402.66 (32.0 %)


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2007 - - - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - - - -
Q1 2008 - - - - - -
Q2 2008 4.13 - 0.01 (16.00) 20.12 0.04
Q3 2008 5.40 - 0.01 (6.00) 11.40 0.02
Q4 2008 8.27 - 0.02 (2.77) 11.03 0.02
Q1 2009 (7.87) - (0.02) - (7.87) (0.02)
Q2 2009 (12.36) (399.3 %) (0.03) - (12.36) (0.03)
Q3 2009 (19.21) (455.5 %) (0.04) (5.55) (13.66) (0.03)
Q4 2009 (21.15) (355.9 %) (0.04) (8.61) (12.55) (0.03)
Q1 2010 (42.94) (445.6 %) (0.09) - (42.94) (0.09)
Q2 2010 (37.62) (204.3 %) (0.08) - (37.62) (0.08)
Q3 2010 (3.45) 82.0 % (0.01) - (3.45) (0.01)
Q4 2010 41.38 295.6 % 0.09 - 41.38 0.09
Q1 2011 (10.52) 75.5 % (0.02) - (10.52) (0.02)
Q2 2011 (12.37) 67.1 % (0.03) - (12.37) (0.03)
Q3 2011 (12.59) (264.5 %) (0.03) - (12.59) (0.03)
Q4 2011 (28.63) (169.2 %) (0.06) - (28.63) (0.06)
Q1 2012 (21.63) (105.6 %) (0.05) - (21.63) (0.05)
Q2 2012 (35.79) (189.4 %) (0.07) - (35.79) (0.07)
Q3 2012 (0.13) 99.0 % 0.00 - (0.13) 0.00
Q4 2012 (405.99) (1,318.2 %) (0.85) - (405.99) (0.85)
Q1 2013 (1.33) 93.8 % 0.00 - (1.33) 0.00
Q2 2013 10.84 130.3 % 0.02 - 10.84 0.02
Q3 2013 (150.21) (120,064.0 %) (0.31) - (150.21) (0.31)
Q4 2013 74.57 118.4 % 0.16 - 74.57 0.16
Q1 2014 141.02 10678.9 % 0.29 - 141.02 0.29
Q2 2014 197.03 1717.8 % 0.41 - 197.03 0.41
Q3 2014 244.19 262.6 % 0.51 - 244.19 0.51
Q4 2014 192.53 158.2 % 0.40 - 192.53 0.40
Q1 2015 101.84 (27.8 %) 0.21 - 101.84 0.21
Q2 2015 305.39 55.0 % 0.64 - 305.39 0.64
Q3 2015 321.10 31.5 % 0.67 - 321.10 0.67
Q4 2015 178.30 (7.4 %) 0.37 - 178.30 0.37
Q1 2016 121.43 19.2 % 0.25 - 121.43 0.25
Q2 2016 208.01 (31.9 %) 0.43 - 208.01 0.43
Q3 2016 191.61 (40.3 %) 0.40 - 191.61 0.40

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2007 - - -
Q2 2007 - - -
Q3 2007 - - -
Q4 2007 - - -
Q1 2008 - - -
Q2 2008 - - -
Q3 2008 - - -
Q4 2008 - - -
Q1 2009 - - -
Q2 2009 - - -
Q3 2009 - - -
Q4 2009 - - -
Q1 2010 - - -
Q2 2010 - - -
Q3 2010 - - -
Q4 2010 - - -
Q1 2011 - - -
Q2 2011 - - -
Q3 2011 - - -
Q4 2011 - - -
Q1 2012 - - -
Q2 2012 - - -
Q3 2012 - - -
Q4 2012 (55.82 %) (56.03 %) (54.03 %)
Q1 2013 (19.81 %) (12.88 %) (28.65 %)
Q2 2013 (3.11 %) 5.55 % (14.74 %)
Q3 2013 (3.21 %) 5.64 % (14.35 %)
Q4 2013 16.38 % 22.19 % (1.49 %)
Q1 2014 18.51 % 22.23 % 1.40 %
Q2 2014 21.47 % 23.54 % 4.18 %
Q3 2014 28.90 % 29.39 % 9.23 %
Q4 2014 29.26 % 29.67 % 9.86 %
Q1 2015 28.82 % 28.79 % 9.29 %
Q2 2015 31.05 % 31.20 % 10.66 %
Q3 2015 32.35 % 33.43 % 11.69 %
Q4 2015 33.98 % 35.38 % 12.41 %
Q1 2016 34.30 % 36.58 % 12.88 %
Q2 2016 33.53 % 36.34 % 12.07 %
Q3 2016 32.07 % 35.00 % 10.66 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2007 - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - -
Q1 2008 - - - -
Q2 2008 480.00 - - 4.59
Q3 2008 480.00 - - 4.60
Q4 2008 480.00 - - 4.62
Q1 2009 480.00 0.02 0.07 4.60
Q2 2009 480.00 (0.01) 0.00 4.58
Q3 2009 480.00 (0.06) (0.05) 9.95
Q4 2009 480.00 (0.13) (0.10) 9.91
Q1 2010 480.00 (0.20) (0.17) 9.82
Q2 2010 480.00 (0.25) (0.22) 9.74
Q3 2010 480.00 (0.22) (0.20) 9.74
Q4 2010 480.00 (0.09) (0.09) 9.82
Q1 2011 480.00 (0.02) (0.02) 9.80
Q2 2011 480.00 0.03 0.03 9.77
Q3 2011 480.00 0.01 0.01 9.75
Q4 2011 480.00 (0.13) (0.13) 9.69
Q1 2012 480.00 (0.16) (0.16) 9.64
Q2 2012 480.00 (0.21) (0.21) 9.57
Q3 2012 480.00 (0.18) (0.18) 9.57
Q4 2012 480.00 (0.97) (0.97) 8.72
Q1 2013 480.00 (0.92) (0.92) 8.72
Q2 2013 480.00 (0.83) (0.83) 8.74
Q3 2013 480.00 (1.14) (1.14) 8.43
Q4 2013 480.00 (0.14) (0.14) 8.59
Q1 2014 480.00 0.16 0.16 8.88
Q2 2014 480.00 0.55 0.55 9.29
Q3 2014 480.00 1.37 1.37 9.80
Q4 2014 480.00 1.61 1.61 10.20
Q1 2015 480.00 1.53 1.53 10.41
Q2 2015 480.00 1.76 1.76 11.05
Q3 2015 480.00 1.92 1.92 11.72
Q4 2015 480.00 1.89 1.89 12.09
Q1 2016 480.00 1.93 1.93 12.27
Q2 2016 480.00 1.73 1.73 12.70
Q3 2016 480.00 1.46 1.46 13.10

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2007 - - -
Q2 2007 - - -
Q3 2007 - - -
Q4 2007 - - -
Q1 2008 - - -
Q2 2008 - - -
Q3 2008 - - -
Q4 2008 - - -
Q1 2009 - - -
Q2 2009 - - -
Q3 2009 NEG NEG 1.53
Q4 2009 NEG NEG 1.57
Q1 2010 NEG NEG 1.55
Q2 2010 NEG NEG 1.53
Q3 2010 NEG NEG 1.82
Q4 2010 NEG NEG 2.29
Q1 2011 NEG NEG 2.46
Q2 2011 More than 100 More than 100 2.27
Q3 2011 More than 100 More than 100 2.30
Q4 2011 NEG NEG 2.12
Q1 2012 NEG NEG 2.70
Q2 2012 NEG NEG 2.08
Q3 2012 NEG NEG 2.29
Q4 2012 NEG NEG 2.29
Q1 2013 NEG NEG 2.33
Q2 2013 NEG NEG 2.60
Q3 2013 NEG NEG 2.49
Q4 2013 NEG NEG 2.98
Q1 2014 More than 100 More than 100 3.18
Q2 2014 59.70 59.70 3.51
Q3 2014 26.09 26.09 3.64
Q4 2014 13.57 13.57 2.15
Q1 2015 14.36 14.36 2.11
Q2 2015 14.21 14.21 2.26
Q3 2015 9.67 9.67 1.58
Q4 2015 8.84 8.84 1.38
Q1 2016 8.60 8.60 1.35
Q2 2016 9.82 9.82 1.33
Q3 2016 10.00 10.00 1.11

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q3 2016 (e) Q3 2016 (a) Change‬
Average 217.65 191.61 (12.0 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q3 2016 (e) Q3 2016 (a) Change
SNB Capital 192.00 191.61 (0.2) %
AlJazira Capital 213.60 191.61 (10.3) %
Sico 230.00 191.61 (16.7) %
Riyad Capital 235.00 191.61 (18.5) %

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