SEC Q1 loss after Mudaraba widens to SAR 1.4 bln

SEC Q1 loss after Mudaraba widens to SAR 1.4 bln

10/05/2023 Argaam Exclusive

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Saudi Electricity Co. (SEC) deepened Q1 2023 net losses to SAR 1.40 billion after deducting the SAR 1.40 billion payment of Mudaraba coupon, from SAR 372 million in the year-earlier period. 



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q1 2022 Q1 2023 Change‬
Revenues 13,531.32 13,379.21 (1.1 %)
Gross Income 2,638.39 1,759.78 (33.3 %)
Operating Income 2,057.38 1,403.31 (31.8 %)
Net Income before deducting Mudaraba Instrument profit 1,517.25 479.74 (68.4 %)
Net Income (371.86) (1409.36) (279.0 %)
Average Shares 4,166.59 4,166.59 0.0 %
EPS before deducting Mudaraba Instrument profit (Riyals) 0.36 0.12 (68.0 %)
EPS (Riyals) (0.09) (0.34) (279.0 %)

The utility’s net profit before deducting Mudaraba instrument distributions declined to SAR 480 million in Q1 2023, compared to SAR 1.51 billion in Q1 2022.

 

Losses increased as electricity sales fell by SAR 439 million year-on-year (YoY), due to lower sold volume and a change in the sales mix. Operation and maintenance costs and financing costs together increased by SAR 1.24 billion YoY.

 

This was partially offset by a rise of SAR 250 million in the required revenue recognized during Q1 2023, compared to the same quarter of the previous year. SEC also reported higher net other income and expenses, along with lower provisions for receivables from consumption of electricity and other receivables.

 

The change in purchased power and fuel costs YoY reflects the implementation of the Energy Conversion Agreements (ECAs), the Bulk Supply Agreement (BSA), and the transfer of Fuel Supply Agreements from SEC to Saudi Energy Purchase Co. (SPPC) as of July 1, 2022.

 

As per the BSA, the bulk supply tariff is lower during the winter season (from January to April and October to December) and higher during the summer season (from May to September), which results in a variation in purchased power tariffs during the fiscal year.

 

On the contrary, the tariff under which electricity is sold to consumers along with the ECA revenue shows no significant seasonal variation. To account for the purchased power costs, SEC applies the bulk supply average tariff, to match the revenue recognized. The bulk supply average tariff is calculated on an annual basis.

 

Sequentially, Q1 2023 net losses after Mudaraba deepened from SAR 190.61 million.

 

Total shareholders’ equity, no minority interest, reached SAR 89.6 billion as of March 31, 2023, compared to SAR 85.8 billion a year earlier.



Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2014 7,069.18 10.1 % (864.11) (49.9 %) (1018.21) (37.3 %)
Q2 2014 10,489.73 12.7 % 1,341.82 67.8 % 1,147.87 74.9 %
Q3 2014 12,472.87 5.7 % 2,813.69 (3.5 %) 2,586.03 (5.3 %)
Q4 2014 8,458.89 4.0 % (1255.35) (153.1 %) (1609.13) (142.3 %)
Q1 2015 7,485.98 5.9 % (1246.39) (44.2 %) (1401.59) (37.7 %)
Q2 2015 11,917.40 13.6 % 2,122.48 58.2 % 1,869.18 62.8 %
Q3 2015 13,176.21 5.6 % 3,023.16 7.4 % 2,854.81 10.4 %
Q4 2015 8,985.19 6.2 % (1344.46) (7.1 %) (1780.90) (10.7 %)
Q1 2016 8,894.70 18.8 % (342.01) 72.6 % (561.40) 59.9 %
Q2 2016 13,194.13 10.7 % 2,790.68 31.5 % 2,380.37 27.3 %
Q3 2016 17,132.99 30.0 % 5,587.18 84.8 % 5,333.62 86.8 %
Q4 2016 10,639.18 18.4 % (1183.38) 12.0 % (1360.63) 23.6 %
Q1 2017 8,920.29 0.3 % (653.65) (91.1 %) (909.52) (62.0 %)
Q2 2017 13,301.83 0.8 % 2,691.06 (3.6 %) 2,255.86 (5.2 %)
Q3 2017 16,986.31 (0.9 %) 5,608.94 0.4 % 5,337.57 0.1 %
Q4 2017 11,476.56 7.9 % (956.35) 19.2 % (1434.41) (5.4 %)
Q1 2018 11,401.27 27.8 % (623.99) 4.5 % (937.36) (3.1 %)
Q2 2018 17,701.15 33.1 % 2,938.85 9.2 % 2,597.19 15.1 %
Q3 2018 21,930.17 29.1 % 5,970.99 6.5 % 5,697.76 6.7 %
Q4 2018 13,031.05 13.5 % (2366.24) (147.4 %) (2778.00) (93.7 %)
Q1 2019 11,395.24 (0.1 %) (636.38) (2.0 %) (943.00) (0.6 %)
Q2 2019 16,520.27 (6.7 %) 1,820.66 (38.0 %) 1,554.30 (40.2 %)
Q3 2019 20,830.54 (5.0 %) 3,759.55 (37.0 %) 3,419.16 (40.0 %)
Q4 2019 16,293.95 25.0 % 1,180.29 149.9 % 849.13 130.6 %
Q1 2020 11,397.72 0.0 % (1192.35) (87.4 %) (1413.80) (49.9 %)
Q2 2020 16,668.46 0.9 % 788.96 (56.7 %) 374.58 (75.9 %)
Q3 2020 20,517.11 (1.5 %) 3,340.09 (11.2 %) 2,864.58 (16.2 %)
Q4 2020 20,125.63 23.5 % 5,385.82 356.3 % 5,076.83 497.9 %
Q1 2021 13,348.37 17.1 % 2,928.08 345.6 % 2,147.85 251.9 %
Q2 2021 18,580.36 11.5 % 6,457.61 718.5 % 6,403.89 1609.6 %
Q3 2021 21,832.09 6.4 % 8,594.81 157.3 % 8,032.74 180.4 %
Q4 2021 15,577.22 (22.6 %) 2,561.46 (52.4 %) 1,997.65 (60.7 %)
Q1 2022 13,531.32 1.4 % 2,638.39 (9.9 %) 2,057.38 (4.2 %)
Q2 2022 19,401.68 4.4 % 6,544.77 1.3 % 5,787.59 (9.6 %)
Q3 2022 22,749.62 4.2 % 7,496.39 (12.8 %) 6,913.51 (13.9 %)
Q4 2022 16,396.81 5.3 % 3,080.27 20.3 % 2,013.34 0.8 %
Q1 2023 13,379.21 (1.1 %) 1,759.78 (33.3 %) 1,403.31 (31.8 %)


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2014 (913.35) (38.9 %) (0.22) - (913.35) (0.22)
Q2 2014 3,657.81 143.5 % 0.88 2,338.83 1,318.98 0.32
Q3 2014 2,668.33 (6.5 %) 0.64 - 2,668.33 0.64
Q4 2014 (1801.80) (172.2 %) (0.43) (244.81) (1556.99) (0.37)
Q1 2015 (1939.69) (112.4 %) (0.47) - (1939.69) (0.47)
Q2 2015 1,970.64 (46.1 %) 0.47 - 1,970.64 0.47
Q3 2015 2,921.06 9.5 % 0.70 - 2,921.06 0.70
Q4 2015 (1444.55) 19.8 % (0.35) 201.51 (1646.06) (0.40)
Q1 2016 (798.31) 58.8 % (0.19) - (798.31) (0.19)
Q2 2016 2,242.00 13.8 % 0.54 - 2,242.00 0.54
Q3 2016 4,928.41 68.7 % 1.18 - 4,928.41 1.18
Q4 2016 (1826.85) (26.5 %) (0.44) (110.26) (1716.59) (0.41)
Q1 2017 4,935.78 718.3 % 1.18 6,119.55 (1183.77) (0.28)
Q2 2017 2,231.59 (0.5 %) 0.54 - 2,231.59 0.54
Q3 2017 5,261.87 6.8 % 1.26 - 5,261.87 1.26
Q4 2017 (5521.23) (202.2 %) (1.33) (2597.31) (2923.36) (0.70)
Q1 2018 (1214.05) (124.6 %) (0.29) - (1214.05) (0.29)
Q2 2018 1,846.55 (17.3 %) 0.44 - 1,846.55 0.44
Q3 2018 4,925.47 (6.4 %) 1.18 - 4,925.47 1.18
Q4 2018 (3800.84) 31.2 % (0.91) - (3800.84) (0.91)
Q1 2019 (1489.23) (22.7 %) (0.36) - (1489.23) (0.36)
Q2 2019 788.77 (57.3 %) 0.19 - 788.77 0.19
Q3 2019 2,679.39 (45.6 %) 0.64 - 2,679.39 0.64
Q4 2019 (591.37) 84.4 % (0.14) - (591.37) (0.14)
Q1 2020 (2441.46) (63.9 %) (0.59) (240.42) (2201.04) (0.53)
Q2 2020 (868.56) (210.1 %) (0.21) (597.36) (271.21) (0.07)
Q3 2020 2,200.58 (17.9 %) 0.53 29.68 2,170.90 0.52
Q4 2020 3,207.62 642.4 % 0.77 - 3,207.62 0.77
Q1 2021 (199.98) 91.8 % (0.05) - (199.98) (0.05)
Q2 2021 3,917.98 551.1 % 0.94 (484.61) 4,402.59 1.06
Q3 2021 5,448.49 147.6 % 1.31 - 5,448.49 1.31
Q4 2021 (2436.99) (176.0 %) (0.58) (863.44) (1573.56) (0.38)
Q1 2022 (371.86) (85.9 %) (0.09) - (371.86) (0.09)
Q2 2022 3,592.18 (8.3 %) 0.86 - 3,592.18 0.86
Q3 2022 4,444.14 (18.4 %) 1.07 - 4,444.14 1.07
Q4 2022 (190.61) 92.2 % (0.05) - (190.61) (0.05)
Q1 2023 (1409.36) (279.0 %) (0.34) - (1409.36) (0.34)

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2014 6.48 % 37.80 % 5.65 %
Q2 2014 7.72 % 39.12 % 6.92 %
Q3 2014 7.32 % 39.38 % 6.32 %
Q4 2014 5.29 % 38.10 % 3.94 %
Q1 2015 4.25 % 38.05 % 1.26 %
Q2 2015 6.04 % 39.41 % 2.83 %
Q3 2015 6.44 % 39.94 % 3.40 %
Q4 2015 6.15 % 39.64 % 3.14 %
Q1 2016 8.05 % 39.45 % 5.69 %
Q2 2016 9.33 % 38.66 % 6.14 %
Q3 2016 13.88 % 39.88 % 9.80 %
Q4 2016 13.74 % 38.65 % 9.34 %
Q1 2017 13.11 % 38.91 % 8.56 %
Q2 2017 12.88 % 39.68 % 8.52 %
Q3 2017 12.97 % 41.21 % 9.21 %
Q4 2017 13.20 % 41.47 % 6.68 %
Q1 2018 12.64 % 40.23 % 6.31 %
Q2 2018 12.10 % 38.46 % 5.16 %
Q3 2018 11.73 % 36.01 % 4.21 %
Q4 2018 9.24 % 33.58 % 2.74 %
Q1 2019 9.22 % 34.44 % 2.31 %
Q2 2019 7.62 % 33.97 % 0.67 %
Q3 2019 4.17 % 31.96 % (2.95 %)
Q4 2019 9.42 % 36.28 % 2.13 %
Q1 2020 8.56 % 35.60 % 1.04 %
Q2 2020 6.96 % 33.79 % (0.59 %)
Q3 2020 6.35 % 33.22 % (1.38 %)
Q4 2020 12.11 % 37.39 % 4.23 %
Q1 2021 17.61 % 41.45 % 6.95 %
Q2 2021 24.96 % 48.92 % 13.20 %
Q3 2021 31.62 % 55.29 % 17.40 %
Q4 2021 29.63 % 55.20 % 11.65 %
Q1 2022 29.13 % 54.81 % 11.37 %
Q2 2022 28.91 % 53.18 % 10.09 %
Q3 2022 27.00 % 50.62 % 8.55 %
Q4 2022 27.41 % 50.10 % 10.37 %
Q1 2023 26.25 % 49.35 % 8.95 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2014 4,166.59 0.67 0.49 13.32
Q2 2014 4,166.59 1.18 0.62 14.08
Q3 2014 4,166.59 1.14 0.58 14.72
Q4 2014 4,166.59 0.87 0.36 14.22
Q1 2015 4,166.59 0.62 0.12 13.75
Q2 2015 4,166.59 0.22 0.27 14.10
Q3 2015 4,166.59 0.28 0.33 14.79
Q4 2015 4,166.59 0.36 0.31 14.48
Q1 2016 4,166.59 0.64 0.59 14.16
Q2 2016 4,166.59 0.70 0.65 14.38
Q3 2016 4,166.59 1.18 1.13 15.43
Q4 2016 4,166.59 1.09 1.12 15.74
Q1 2017 4,166.59 2.47 1.02 16.93
Q2 2017 4,166.59 2.46 1.02 17.33
Q3 2017 4,166.59 2.54 1.10 18.59
Q4 2017 4,166.59 1.66 0.81 17.35
Q1 2018 4,166.59 0.18 0.81 16.97
Q2 2018 4,166.59 0.09 0.71 17.29
Q3 2018 4,166.59 0.01 0.63 18.50
Q4 2018 4,166.59 0.42 0.42 17.68
Q1 2019 4,166.59 0.36 0.36 17.29
Q2 2019 4,166.59 0.10 0.10 17.25
Q3 2019 4,166.59 (0.44) (0.44) 17.88
Q4 2019 4,166.59 0.33 0.33 17.66
Q1 2020 4,166.59 0.10 0.16 16.96
Q2 2020 4,166.59 (0.29) (0.09) 16.54
Q3 2020 4,166.59 (0.41) (0.21) 17.08
Q4 2020 4,166.59 0.50 0.70 19.17
Q1 2021 4,166.59 1.04 1.18 19.63
Q2 2021 4,166.59 2.19 2.30 19.41
Q3 2021 4,166.59 2.97 3.09 21.20
Q4 2021 4,166.59 1.62 1.94 20.09
Q1 2022 4,166.59 1.57 1.90 20.59
Q2 2022 4,166.59 1.50 1.70 20.35
Q3 2022 4,166.59 1.25 1.46 21.87
Q4 2022 4,166.59 1.79 1.79 21.39
Q1 2023 4,166.59 1.54 1.54 21.50

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2014 23.61 32.00 1.18
Q2 2014 13.30 25.27 1.12
Q3 2014 15.13 29.80 1.17
Q4 2014 3.22 7.68 1.05
Q1 2015 28.16 More than 100 1.27
Q2 2015 79.95 62.81 1.22
Q3 2015 59.41 48.98 1.11
Q4 2015 8.14 9.40 1.08
Q1 2016 25.10 27.17 1.13
Q2 2016 27.89 29.96 1.36
Q3 2016 14.26 14.86 1.09
Q4 2016 3.88 3.79 1.43
Q1 2017 9.40 22.62 1.37
Q2 2017 10.35 24.94 1.47
Q3 2017 9.39 21.68 1.29
Q4 2017 2.38 4.86 1.21
Q1 2018 More than 100 25.75 1.22
Q2 2018 More than 100 29.20 1.20
Q3 2018 More than 100 25.34 0.87
Q4 2018 9.22 9.22 0.86
Q1 2019 46.39 46.39 0.95
Q2 2019 More than 100 More than 100 1.08
Q3 2019 NEG NEG 1.19
Q4 2019 15.60 15.60 1.15
Q1 2020 More than 100 98.16 0.94
Q2 2020 NEG NEG 0.94
Q3 2020 NEG NEG 1.01
Q4 2020 42.30 30.54 1.11
Q1 2021 22.56 19.95 1.20
Q2 2021 11.02 10.50 1.24
Q3 2021 9.06 8.72 1.27
Q4 2021 14.85 12.37 1.19
Q1 2022 16.84 13.97 1.29
Q2 2022 16.18 14.21 1.19
Q3 2022 19.56 16.79 1.12
Q4 2022 12.88 12.88 1.08
Q1 2023 15.12 15.12 1.09

Business Segments (Million)

Compared With The
Period Saudi Electricity Company National Electricity Transmission Company Other Subsidiaries Joint Operations Inter-Company Balances
Q3 2015 13,172.85 1,794.16 3.36 - (1794.16)
Q4 2015 8,955.63 1,866.48 3.51 - (1866.48)
Q1 2016 8,896.92 2,081.14 3.28 507.42 (2594.05)
Q2 2016 13,166.62 1,986.21 38.35 731.67 (2728.71)
Q3 2016 17,136.40 2,107.11 7.36 518.16 (2636.04)
Q4 2016 10,642.80 2,246.18 7.61 749.94 (3006.85)
Q1 2017 8,920.29 2,545.37 7.35 579.63 (3132.34)
Q2 2017 13,302.13 2,541.86 7.08 366.33 (2915.56)
Q3 2017 16,993.46 2,541.86 7.08 822.01 (3378.17)
Q4 2017 11,480.20 3,134.98 7.08 345.88 (3491.59)
Q1 2018 11,291.67 2,895.23 5.77 321.15 (3112.54)
Q2 2018 17,811.57 2,673.67 15.18 227.47 (3026.74)
Q3 2018 21,929.27 2,784.44 (2.30) 430.78 (3212.01)
Q4 2018 14,071.90 2,992.92 16.31 301.44 (4351.52)
Q1 2019 11,382.20 3,241.44 26.98 312.00 (3567.37)
Q2 2019 16,517.76 3,241.42 16.44 285.46 (3540.81)
Q3 2019 20,835.32 3,322.69 9.15 349.52 (3686.14)
Q4 2019 16,261.72 3,421.45 46.44 324.02 (3759.68)
Q1 2020 11,389.39 3,496.10 22.27 323.10 (3833.13)
Q2 2020 16,625.61 3,566.90 55.73 316.91 (3896.87)
Q3 2020 20,504.00 3,603.00 28.00 341.00 (3959.00)
Q4 2020 20,030.00 3,586.00 109.00 337.00 (3936.00)
Q1 2021 13,311.00 4,271.00 51.00 332.00 (4617.00)
Q2 2021 18,519.00 4,541.00 126.00 366.00 (4971.00)
Q4 2021 13,420.00 4,264.00 175.00 - (2282.00)
Q1 2022 13,418.00 4,683.00 426.00 - (4996.00)
Q2 2022 19,279.00 4,497.00 137.00 327.00 (4838.00)
Q1 2023 12,314.00 5,581.00 142.00 - (4658.00)

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q1 2023 (e) Q1 2023 (a) Change‬
Average (85.00) (1409.36) (1558.1 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q1 2023 (e) Q1 2023 (a) Change
Riyad Capital (85.00) (1409.36) (1558.1) %

Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 69,915.38
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 196,629.30
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 4,166.59
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 0.85
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 22.25
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) 22.83
P/E (TTM) 19.78
Price/book 0.75
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 0.7
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 3.8

Share Price

16.78
(0.08) (0.47 %)

Saudi Electricity Co. (SAUDI ELECTRICITY)


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